Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 11/9/24

Pick details

Toronto Maple Leafs (8-5-2) vs Montreal Canadiens (4-8-2)

November 9, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -260 / Montreal Canadiens +210 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 9th at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 4-8-2 this year after they lost to New Jersey by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Montreal trailed 2-0 after the first period and while they did fight to stay in the game, they were never able to find a tying goal. The Canadiens were outshot by a total of 27-24, won 47.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Montreal got goals from Gallagher and Newhook (2), while Montembeault stopped 22 out of 26 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Canadiens lost four games in a row against Calgary, Pittsburgh, Washington, and Seattle. Montreal has scored 2.71 goals per game and they have allowed 4.07 goals against per game, while also going 20.8% on the power play and 83.3% on the penalty kill this season. Nick Suzuki has led Montreal with four goals, nine assists, and 30 shots on goal, while Sam Montembeault is 3-6-1 with a 3.46 goals-against average and a .892 save percentage. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-5-2 this season after they defeated the Red Wings by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Toronto scored once in all three periods and picked up the rivalry win. The Maple Leafs were outshot by a total of 22-20, won 43.1% of the face-offs, and went 2-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Marner and Tavares (2), while Stolarz stopped 21 out of 22 shots in the win.

Prior to that game, the Maple Leafs defeated Boston by a score of 4-0 but did lose to Minnesota and St. Louis before that. Toronto has scored 3.07 goals per game and they have allowed 2.79 goals against per game, while also going 14.9% on the power play and 86% on the penalty kill this season. Mitch Marner has led Toronto with three goals, 15 assists, and 39 shots on goal, while Joseph Woll is 1-2-0 with a 2.70 goals against average and an .892 save percentage this year. 

Why the Maple Leafs will beat the Canadiens

  • The Canadiens have lost 15 of their last 16 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The favorites have won each of the Canadiens’ last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in four of the Canadiens’ last five games.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.

Why the Canadiens will beat the Maple Leafs

  • The Canadiens have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 18 games following a road loss.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Canadiens’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 14 road games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in four of the Canadiens’ last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in eight of the Canadiens’ last nine games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Cole Caufield has recorded at least one point in eight of the Canadiens’ last nine road games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup after picking up a nice win over Detroit last night, but that means they are on the second game of a back-to-back here. The Maple Leafs are 6-2-0 at home this year, while the Canadiens are 1-4-1 on the road. Montreal has lost five games in a row and they are allowing over four goals against per game this season. The Canadiens have been pretty bad defensively, but they haven’t been much better on offense, as they are only scoring 2.71 goals per game this year. I think Montreal will continue to struggle to find the back of the net, while the back-to-back for Toronto will also slow them down. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Pick: Under 6.5

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