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Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 2/22/25 NHL Picks

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Ottawa Senators (29-23-4) vs Montreal Canadiens (25-26-5)

February 22, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators -180 / Montreal Canadiens +150 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, February 22nd at the Canadian Tire Centre. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Canadiens’ recent form and recent player performance 

-The Senators’ recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Ottawa

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Montreal

-Recent betting trends in games played between Ottawa and Montreal

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Senators and Canadiens.

Canadiens Continue to Have Issues

The Canadiens continue to have issues and have lost three games in a row. The defense and goaltending have had no issues over the last three games, giving up 15 goals. The Canadiens offense managed three goals against the Tampa Bay Lightning, but the defense gave up five. Jakub Dobes finished with only eight shots faced, and he saved only five. Brendan Gallagher was the top player, finishing with two goals and three shots on goal. The defense is going to need to be a whole lot better. 

The Canadiens are averaging 2.86 goals, while their defense is giving up 3.43 goals per game. The offense is in the middle of the road, but the defense has been a big problem all season, and it’s been the biggest reason for the issues. They are shooting only 9.43 percent as a team, which is 29th in the league. Dobes could get the start here; if he does, he will need to be much better. Dobes sits with a 5-2–1 record overall, and he’s giving up 2.71 goals per game. The Canadiens will take on the Canes after this one.

Good Break for Senators

The break came at the perfect game for the Senators, who had lost three games in a row before. Each of the last two games against the Tampa Bay Lightning and Florida Panthers was a 5-1 defeat. At the end of the first period in the last game, they were up 1-0, but the second period rolled around, they gave up four goals and the rest was history. Linus Ullmark was in goal, saving 43 of the 47 shots he faced. 

The Senators at home this season have 16 wins and must feel good about being at home. The Senators are averaging 2.8 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.76. The offense has been inconsistent at best this season. Tim Stutzle has scored 17 goals and added 39 assists so far. Ullmark could get the start again here, but Ottawa needs to do a better job of limiting how many shots he faces. 

Why the Senators Will Beat the Canadiens

  • The Senators have won nine of their last 10 games against the Canadiens.
  • The Canadiens have lost seven of their last eight road games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games.
  • The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last four games against the Canadiens following a road loss.
  • The Senators have won the third period in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents at Canadian Tire Centre when leading after the second period.

Montreal Canadiens vs Ottawa Senators Prediction

The break came at the right time for the Senators, and they will get their season back on the right track here. Ullmark isn’t going to have to face 47 shots on goal here, and he’s going to be more dominant. Ottawa has won their last five games played at home, and they will make that trend 6-0 here. Montreal is averaging only 2.88 goals per game, which isn’t going to be enough. I am not willing to lay this number with the Senators, but we will take away a little bit of the risk-taking Ottawa on the puck line. Back the Senators -1.5 to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Pick: Ottawa Senators -1.5

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