Maple Leafs vs Sabres Prediction 10/24/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Maple Leafs vs Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Friday, October 24th at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 3-3-1 this year after they lost to New Jersey by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto led 1-0 after the first period, but they allowed four goals in the second and one in the third for the loss. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 35-25, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto got goals from Maccelli and Tavares, while Stolarz stopped 30 out of 34 shots, which was an .882 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Toronto lost to the Kraken by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Rangers by a score of 2-1 before that. The Maple Leafs have lost two games in a row and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with seven points. Toronto has scored 3.43 goals per game and they have allowed 3.57 goals against per game, while also going 12.5% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill this season. William Nylander has led Toronto with two goals and 11 assists, while John Tavares has added four goals and five assists. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Anthony Stolarz, who is 2-3-1 with a 3.01 goals against average and an .894 save percentage this year. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 3-4-0 this season after they defeated Detroit by a score of 4-2 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 1-0 in the second period, but they scored four of the last five goals to escape with the win. The Sabres recorded 31 shots on goal, won 45.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Doan, Kozak, Quinn, and Zucker, while Ellis stopped 29 out of 31 shots, which was a .935 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Buffalo lost to the Canadiens by a score of 4-2, but did beat the Panthers by a score of 3-0 before that. The Sabres have won three of their last four games and they are currently second to last in the Atlantic standings with six points. Buffalo has scored 2.71 goals per game and they have allowed 2.86 goals against per game, while also going 25% on the power play and 96.2% on the penalty kill this season. Zach Benson, Jack Quinn, and Josh Doan have led Buffalo with six points each. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Alex Lyon, who is 2-4-0 with a 2.55 goals against average and a .924 save percentage this season. 

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

The Maple Leafs have won five of their last six games at KeyBank Center.
The Sabres have lost each of their last three night games following a home win.
The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites against the Sabres.
The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last eight night games.
The Sabres have lost the second period in nine of their last 11 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents at KeyBank Center when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Sabres’ last six Friday home games have gone OVER the total goals line.
Six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games against the Sabres following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
Seven of the last eight Friday games at KeyBank Center have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last eight home games against opponents on a losing streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in nine of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games at KeyBank Center.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

Joshua Norris has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances against the Maple Leafs.
Tage Thompson has recorded at least one point in 13 of the Sabres’ last 15 games as home underdogs.
Rasmus Dahlin has recorded at least one assist in eight of the Sabres’ last 10 games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as favorites against the Sabres.
Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight games as favorites against the Sabres.
William Nylander has recorded two assists in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games.

Maple Leafs vs Sabres Prediction 

Toronto comes into this matchup looking to snap their two game losing streak, but they have allowed nine goals in those two losses. The Maple Leafs are 0-1-0 on the road this year, while the Sabres are 3-2-0 at home. Buffalo has won three of their last four games and they have turned things around after a slow start. The Sabres looked great against Detroit on Thursday, but I am still not sold on their goaltending situation. Take the Maple Leafs to get the win here.