Lightning vs Devils Prediction 12/11/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Lightning vs Devils prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, December 11th at the Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 17-11-2 this season after they defeated Montreal by a score of 6-1 in their last game. Tampa Bay scored the first four goals in the game and added two more in the third for the blowout win. The Lightning recorded 27 shots, won 30.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Holmberg, Kucherov, Point, D’Astous, and Raddysh (2), while Johansson stopped 26 out of 27 shots, which was a .963 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay lost to the Maple Leafs by a score of 2-0 and the Islanders by a score of 2-0. The Lightning have lost four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Atlantic standings with 36 points. Tampa Bay has scored 3.13 goals per game and they have allowed 2.53 goals against per game, while also going 16.3% on the power play and 86.5% on the penalty kill this season. Nikita Kucherov has led TB with 13 goals and 23 assists, while Brandon Hagel has added 17 goals and 12 assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Jonas Johansson, who is 6-5-0 with a 2.53 goals against average and a .907 save percentage this season. 

New Jersey Devils Betting Preview

The New Jersey Devils are 17-12-1 this year after they defeated Ottawa by a score of 4-3 in their last game. New Jersey trailed 2-1 early in the game, but they tied the game at three in the second and scored the only goal in the third for the win. The Devils were out shot by a total of 38-32, won 46.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. New Jersey got goals from Cotter, Glass, Gritsyuk, and Nemec, while Markstrom stopped 35 out of 38 shots, which was a .921 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, New Jersey lost to the Bruins by a score of 4-1 and the Golden Knights by a score of 3-0. The Devils have lost five of their last six games and they are currently sixth in the Metro standings with 35 points. New Jersey has scored 2.87 goals per game and they have allowed 3.07 goals against per game, while also going 22.4% on the power play and 78.0% on the penalty kill this season. Nico Hischier has led New Jersey with 10 goals and 16 assists, while Jesper Bratt has added five goals and 21 assists. The projected starting goalie for New Jersey is Jacob Markstrom, who is 8-6-1 with a 3.48 goals against average and an .880 save percentage this year. 

Why the New Jersey Devils will win

• The underdogs have won five of the Lightning’s last six games.
• The Lightning have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in seven of the Lightning’s last eight games at Prudential Center.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven Thursday games as favorites.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in four of their last five games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Five of the Lightning’s last six road games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the Devils’ last five home games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Devils’ last nine games following a road win.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the Lightning’s last five games as road favorites against the Devils.

New Jersey Devils Player Prop Facts

• Jack Hughes has recorded at least one assist in each of the Devils’ last seven games against the Lightning at Prudential Center.
• Timo Meier has scored a goal in seven of the Devils’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents at Prudential Center.
• Jack Hughes has recorded at least one point in each of his last 10 Thursday night appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Jake Guentzel has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Devils.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last six games at Prudential Center.
• Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one assist in five of the Lightning’s last six games against the Devils.

Lightning vs Devils Prediction 

Both of these teams were able to snap losing streaks in their last game, but both are looking for more consistent offense. Tampa Bay is 9-4-2 on the road this year, while New Jersey is 9-4-1 at home. The Devils have scored one goal or fewer in three of their last four games, while the Lightning have scored one goal or fewer in three of their last five. I think we will see a lower scoring game, but I am going to side with New Jersey, as TB continues to deal with critical injuries.

David Racey's Pick: Devils ML