Lightning vs Bruins Prediction 10/13/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Lightning vs Bruins prediction for this NHL game on Monday, October 13th at the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 0-2-0 this year after they lost to New Jersey by a score of 5-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay cut the deficit from 3-0 to 3-2 in the second period, but they allowed the first two goals in the third to seal the loss. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 29-17, won 42.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay also recorded 25 hits and 17 blocked shots in the loss. The Lightning got goals from Gourde, McDonagh, and Raddysh, while Geekie led the team with four hits in the game. Tampa Bay started Vasilevskiy, who stopped 24 out of 29 shots, which was an .828 save percentage.

The Lightning opened their season with a 5-4 loss to Ottawa in their first game. Tampa Bay has scored 3.50 goals per game and they have allowed 5.00 goals against per game, while also averaging 33.3% on the power play and 87.5% on the penalty kill this season. Brayden Point has led Tampa Bay with one goal and three assists, while Darren Raddysh has added one goal and two assists this year. The projected starting goalie for TB is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 0-2-0 with a 4.67 goals against average and an .855 save percentage this year. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 3-0-0 this season after they defeated Buffalo by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Boston had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third period, but added an empty net goal to finish the victory. The Bruins out shot Buffalo by a total of 31-22, won 53.6% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Boston also recorded 25 hits and 17 blocked shots in the win. The Bruins got goals from Kastelic, Kuraly, and Zacha, while Zadorov led the team with six hits in the game. Boston started Swayman in net, who stopped 21 out of 22 shots, which was a .955 save percentage. 

The Bruins started the season with a 3-1 win over Washington and a 4-3 win over Chicago. Boston has scored 3.33 goals per game and they have allowed 1.67 goals against per game, while also averaging 18.2% on the power play and 100% on the penalty kill this season. Elias Lindholm has led Boston with two goals and two assists, while David Pastrnak has added one goal and three assists this year. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 2-0-0 with a 1.00 goal against average and a .966 save percentage this season. 

Why the Boston Bruins will win

The Lightning have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Bruins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Bruins have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 16 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Bruins have won the third period in each of their last five games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Bruins’ last seven games at TD Garden following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Eight of the Lightning’s last nine games following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
Seven of the last nine day games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in seven of the Lightning’s last eight day games against opponents on a winning streak.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last five games as home underdogs.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last seven games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Bruins’ last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
David Pastrnak has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 10 games as underdogs.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Lightning as road favorites.
Brayden Point has scored at least one goal in each of the Lightning’s last three day games.
Brayden Point has recorded at least one point in 11 of the Lightning’s last 12 day games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Boston Bruins rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (0).
The Boston Bruins rank T1st in the league in short handed goals allowed this season (0).
The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T1st in the league for power play goals against this season (1).
The Tampa Bay Lightning rank T1st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.50).

Lightning vs Bruins Prediction 

Boston comes into this matchup looking for their fourth straight win to start the season and they have played very strong defense through three games. The Bruins are 2-0-0 at home this year, while the Lightning have yet to play a road game. Tampa Bay has allowed five goals in each of their first two games and I am not sure if it will get any better on the road. Take the Bruins to win here.