Golden Knights vs Lightning Prediction 10/26/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Lightning prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, October 26th at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are 5-1-2 this year after they lost to Florida by a score of 3-0 on Saturday. Vegas allowed one goal in the first period and two in the third for the shutout loss. The Golden Knights were out shot by a total of 26-17, won 54.7% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Vegas was led by Hutton and Barbashev, who both had three shots on goal, while Whitecloud led the team with six hits. The Golden Knights started Schmid in net, who stopped 23 out of 26 shots, which was an .885 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Vegas defeated the Hurricanes by a score of 4-1 and the Flames by a score of 6-1. The Golden Knights have won four of their last five games and they are currently first in the Pacific standings with 12 points. Vegas has scored 4.29 goals per game and they have allowed 2.71 goals against per game, while also going 32.1% on the power play and 73.7% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with six goals and 10 assists, while Mark Stone has added two goals and 11 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Carl Lindbom, who is making his first appearance for Vegas this year. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 2-4-2 this season after they defeated Anaheim by a score of 4-3 in their last game. Tampa Bay blew a 3-1 lead in the third period, but they rallied to score with about three minutes left for the win. The Lightning were out shot by a total of 40-33, won 52.1% of the face-offs, and went 1-6 on the power play in the game. Tampa Bay got goals from Cirelli (2) and Guentzel (2), while Johansson stopped 37 out of 40 shots, which was a .925 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Tampa Bay lost to the Blackhawks by a score of 3-2 and the Blue Jackets by a score of 3-2. The Lightning have lost four of their last five games and they are currently last in the Atlantic standings with six points. Tampa Bay has scored 2.57 goals per game and they have allowed 3.43 goals against per game, while also going 20% on the power play and 88.5% on the penalty kill this season. Jake Guentzel has led Tampa Bay with four goals and five assists, while Brayden Point has added two goals and five assists. The projected starting goalie for Tampa Bay is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who is 0-3-2 with a 3.41 goals against average and an .885 save percentage this season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

The Lightning have won each of their last nine games as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
The Golden Knights have lost 12 of their last 16 road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games.
The Lightning have covered the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
The Golden Knights have lost the third period in seven of their last eight road games against Atlantic Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

Each of the Lightning’s last four games as home favorites on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.
Each of the Golden Knights’ last three night games at Benchmark International Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 26 of the Golden Knights’ last 27 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Golden Knights and Lightning.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in four of the Lightning’s last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one point in each of his last 11 appearances with the Lightning as home favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
Victor Hedman has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes the previous day.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

Jack Eichel has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven appearances against the Lightning at Benchmark International Arena.
Jack Eichel has scored a goal in three of the Golden Knights’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Jack Eichel has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against the Lightning at Benchmark International Arena.

Golden Knights vs Lightning Prediction 

Tampa Bay was able to snap their losing streak with a nice win on Saturday and they will look to make it two in a row here. The Lightning are 1-3-0 at home this year, while the Golden Knights are 2-1-1 on the road. Vegas was shutout on Saturday against Florida, but they have scored at least four goals in four of their last five games. Both of these teams will be on a back to back, but I will side with Tampa Bay, who is expected to have Vasilevskiy in net.