Dec 2, 2025; Elmont, New York, USA; New York Islanders center Mathew Barzal (13) controls the puck against Tampa Bay Lightning defenseman Emil Lilleberg (78) and center Anthony Cirelli (71) during the second period at UBS Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn Images
Brad Penner-Imagn Images

Golden Knights vs Islanders Prediction 12/9/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Vegas Golden Knights New York Islanders
Team Records 14-6-8 16-11-3
Spread -1.5 185 +1.5 -225
Moneyline -148 +124
Total Over 5.5 (-120) Under 5.5 (100)
Where UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
When Tuesday, December 9, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV TNT

In this article we will formulate a Golden Knights vs Islanders prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, December 9th at UBS Arena in Elmont, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview

The Vegas Golden Knights are 14-6-8 this season after they defeated the Rangers in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Vegas trailed 2-1 in the third period, but they tied the game with 52 seconds left and won with eight seconds left in overtime. The Golden Knights out shot New York by a total of 28-24, won 53.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Vegas got goals from Eichel, Hertl, and Howden, while Hart stopped 22 out of 24 shots, which was a .917 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Vegas defeated the Devils by a score of 3-0 and the Blackhawks by a score of 4-3. The Golden Knights have won four games in a row and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 36 points. Vegas has scored 3.04 goals per game and they have allowed 2.82 goals against per game, while also going 25.0% on the power play and 81.7% on the penalty kill this season. Jack Eichel has led Vegas with 12 goals and 24 assists, while Mitch Marner has added five goals and 22 assists. The projected starting goalie for Vegas is Akira Schmid, who is 10-2-4 with a 2.35 goals against average and a .903 save percentage this season. 

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders are 16-11-3 this year after they lost to Florida by a score of 4-1 in their last game. New York cut the deficit to 2-1 in the second period, but allowed two goals in the third to seal the loss. The Islanders were out shot by a total of 30-21, won 49% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. New York got their lone goal from Barzal, while Rittich stopped 26 out of 29 shots, which was an .897 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, New York defeated the Lightning by a score of 2-0 and the Avalanche by a score of 6-3. The Islanders have won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the Metro standings with 35 points. New York has scored 2.87 goals per game and they have allowed 2.73 goals against per game, while also going 14.3% on the power play and 83.5% on the penalty kill this season. Bo Horvat has led New York with 17 goals and 12 assists, while Mathew Barzal has added nine goals and 13 assists. The projected starting goalie for New York is Ilya Sorokin, who is 10-8-2 with a 2.47 goals against average and a .912 save percentage this year. 

Why the New York Islanders will win

  • The underdogs have won six of the last seven games between the Golden Knights and Islanders.
  • The Golden Knights have lost four of their last six games as favorites following a road win.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight night games following a road win.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in nine of the Islanders’ last 10 games at UBS Arena.
  • The Islanders have won the third period in four of their last five games as underdogs when tied after the second period.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The Golden Knights have won each of their last four road games against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Islanders have lost each of their last four games at UBS Arena following a road loss.
  • The road team has covered the puck line in 16 of the Islanders’ last 20 games.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Islanders have lost the second period in four of their last five games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Seven of the Islanders’ last eight games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Seven of the Golden Knights’ last eight road games following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 12 of the Golden Knights’ last 13 games after coming off overtime.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 15 of the Islanders’ last 17 games as underdogs.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Horvat has scored at least one goal in four of the Islanders’ last five games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Islanders as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Matthew Schaefer has recorded an assist in four of the Islanders’ last five games at UBS Arena.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

  • Shea Theodore has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Golden Knights as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • Mark Stone has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances.
  • Mark Stone has recorded at least one assist in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games.

Golden Knights vs Islanders Prediction 

Vegas comes into this matchup looking to extend their four game winning streak and they have allowed just two total goals in their last two games. The Golden Knights are 7-2-4 on the road this year, while the Islanders are 7-6-2 at home. New York has won three of their last four, but they have scored two goals or fewer in four of their last five. The Islanders have gone under 5.5 goals in four of their last five, while Vegas has gone under 5.5 in three of their last five. Take the under here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5

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