Nov 14, 2025; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Philadelphia Flyers center Trevor Zegras (46) scores against St. Louis Blues goaltender Jordan Binnington (50) in shootouts at Enterprise Center. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-Imagn Images
Jeff Curry-Imagn Images

Flyers vs Stars Prediction 11/15/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Philadelphia Flyers Dallas Stars
Team Records 9-5-3 11-4-3
Spread +1.5 -148 -1.5 124
Moneyline +185 -225
Total Over 5.5 (-120) Under 5.5 (100)
Where American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
When Saturday, November 15, 2025
Time 08:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Flyers vs Stars prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, November 15th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Flyers are 9-5-3 this season after they defeated St. Louis in a shootout by a score of 6-5 in their last game. Philadelphia trailed 5-3 in the third period, but they were able to tie the game and get the win in the shootout. The Flyers out shot St. Louis by a total of 31-17, won 43.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Philadelphia got goals from Dvorak (2), Tippet, and Zegras (2), while Ersson stopped 12 out of 17 shots, which was a .706 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, the Flyers lost to the Oilers by a score of 2-1 and the Senators by a score of 3-2. Philadelphia has lost two of their last three games and they are currently fifth in the Metro standings with 21 points. The Flyers have scored 2.56 goals per game and they have allowed 2.56 goals against per game, while also going 20.4% on the power play and 88.7% on the penalty kill this season. Trevor Zegras has led Philadelphia with six goals and 13 assists, while Travis Konecny has added five goals and nine assists. The projected starting goalie for Philadelphia is Dan Vladar, who is 6-3-1 with a 2.15 goals against average and a .919 save percentage this season. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 11-4-3 this year after they defeated Montreal by a score of 7-0 in their last game. Dallas led 1-0 after the first period and added four goals in the second and two in the third for the shutout win. The Stars were out shot by a total of 24-19, won 63.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-3 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Blackwell, Johnston, Robertson (2), Seguin, Lindell, and Petrovic, while DeSmith stopped all 24 shots in the shutout win. 

Prior to that game, Dallas defeated the Senators by a score of 3-2 and the Kraken by a score of 2-1. The Stars have won four games in a row and they are currently second in the Central standings with 25 points. Dallas has scored 3.17 goals per game and they have allowed 2.89 goals against per game, while also going 32.8% on the power play and 75.0% on the penalty kill this season. Mikko Rantanen has led Dallas with nine goals and 16 assists, while Wyatt Johnston has added 11 goals and 10 assists. The projected starting goalie for Dallas is Jake Oettinger, who is 7-3-2 with a 2.89 goals against average and an .896 save percentage this year. 

Why the Dallas Stars will win

  • The Flyers have lost each of their last eight games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have won nine of their last 10 games against the Flyers.
  • The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Flyers have lost the first period in each of their last four games.

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

  • The Flyers have won each of their last three games as road underdogs.
  • The Stars have lost 14 of their last 26 games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games as favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last 10 road games.
  • The Stars have lost the third period in six of their last eight games against Metropolitan Division opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Flyers’ last four games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Four of the Stars’ last five games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Stars’ last six games.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Tyler Seguin has recorded at least one point in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Flyers.
  • Miro Heiskanen has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last five games.
  • Tyler Seguin has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with the Stars as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

  • Matvei Michkov has scored a goal in three of the Flyers’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Travis Konecny has recorded at least one point in eight of the Flyers’ last nine games.
  • Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in six of the Flyers’ last seven games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Dallas Stars have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (4).
  • The Dallas Stars have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 2 this season (3).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
  • The Philadelphia Flyers rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (210).

Flyers vs Stars Prediction 

Philadelphia was able to get a nice shootout win on Friday night, but they will be on a back to back here. The Flyers are 3-2-1 on the road this year, while the Stars are 5-3-1 at home. Dallas has won four games in a row and just beat Montreal by a score of 7-0 last time out. The Stars have allowed a total of three goals in their last three games, while the Flyers will have their best goalie in net and should look to play a defensive game on the back to back. Take the under in this matchup.

David Racey's Pick: Under 5.5

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