Florida Panthers vs New York Islanders Prediction 3/1/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Florida Panthers and New York Islanders meet Sunday in NHL action at the UBS Arena. Here’s a Florida Panthers vs. New York Islanders prediction. This article will include a Florida Panthers vs. New York Islanders pick.

Florida Panthers Betting Preview

The Florida Panthers beat the Maple Leafs and lost to the Sabres, and they play the Devils next. The Panthers have lost 5 of their last 7 games.

The Florida Panthers are averaging 3 goals per game and are scoring on 19.4 percent of their power-play opportunities. Sam Reinhart leads Florida with 27 goals, Carter Verhaeghe has 26 assists, and Sam Bennett has 152 shots on goal. Defensively, the Florida Panthers are allowing 3.29 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 122 goals on 969 shots faced, while Daniil Tarasov has given up 54 goals on 554 shots.

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders beat the Habs and Blue Jackets, and they play the Ducks next. The Islanders have won 4 straight games.

The New York Islanders are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring 5.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Bo Horvat leads New York with 24 goals, Mathew Barzal has 37 assists and Anders Lee has 145 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 2.72 goals per game and are killing 81.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. David Rittich has allowed 59 goals on 590 shots faced, and Ilya Sorokin has given up 91 goals on 1,067 shots.

Why the New York Islanders will win

• The Panthers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Islanders have won five of their last six games as home underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Islanders have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• In four of the Islanders’ last five games, the team trailing after the first period has won the second period.

Why the Florida Panthers will win

• The Islanders have lost five of their last six home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Panthers have won nine of their last 11 road games following a loss.
• The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight home games following a road win.
• The Panthers have covered the puck line in each of their last six Sunday night games.
• The Islanders have lost the second period in five of their last six games as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Panthers’ last six night games against Metropolitan Division opponents has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Islanders’ last five games as underdogs following a road win has gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Panthers’ last 13 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

• Mathew Barzal has scored a goal in four of the Islanders’ last five home games.
• Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one assist in five of the Islanders’ last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Simon Holmstrom ranks 1st amongst qualified Metropolitan Division players for shooting percentage (21.2%) this season.

Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last four road appearances against the Islanders.
• Sam Reinhart has recorded at least one assist in each of the Panthers’ last five games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Brad Marchand is one of only four players in the league to have recorded a power play point in six or more consecutive appearances this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Islanders have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (9).
• The New York Islanders have recorded the most wins when tied or trailing after Period 2 this season (18).
• The Florida Panthers rank 32nd in the league for Period 3 goals allowed per game this season (1.34).
• The Florida Panthers rank 3rd in the league in penalty minutes this season (717).

Florida Panthers vs New York Islanders Prediction

The Panthers should be the favorite with the rest advantage and their desperation, but this is a steep price for a struggling team on the road. The Islanders may be on the end of a back to back but they’re playing well with four straight wins and all of these overtime victories only add to the confidence. The Islanders are finding ways to get it done and there’s value with the plus money given their current form. I’m going to side with the Islanders and the more favorable price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: New York Islanders