Mar 14, 2025; Elmont, New York, USA; Edmonton Oilers center Connor McDavid (97) controls the puck against the New York Islanders during the first period at UBS Arena. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Salus-Imagn Images

Edmonton Oilers vs New York Islanders Prediction 10/16/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Edmonton (2-0-1) vs New York (0-3-0)

October 16, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York +1.5 — Over/Under: +5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Oilers vs Islanders Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, October 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

New York Islanders Preview

The Islanders have a 0-3 record this season, and are 0-3 ATS and 3-0 in over/under. They have a 0-2 home record and are coming off a 2-5 home defeat by the Jets. Offensively, the Islanders are averaging 2.33 goals per game and are scoring 18.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 4.33 goals per game and are killing 70% of their opponent’s power plays. Kyle Palmieri leads New York with 3 points, 2 assists, and one goal.

David Rittich is likely in net for the Islanders, and he had a 16-14-2 record last season, with 2.77 GAA and .888 SV%.

Edmonton Oilers Preview

The Oilers have a 2-0-1 record this season, and are 2-1 ATS and 1-2 in over/under. They have a 1-0 road record and are coming off a 2-0 road victory over the Rangers. Offensively, the Oilers are averaging 2.67 goals per game and are scoring 22.2% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 1.67 goals per game and are killing 88.9% of their opponent’s power plays. Connor McDavid leads Edmonton with 4 points, zero goals and 4 assists.

Stuart Skinner is likely in net for the Oilers, and he has a 1-0-1 record, with 1.44 GAA and .942 SV%.

Edmonton Oilers @ New York Islanders Betting Trends: October 16, 2025

Why the New York Islanders will win

  • The home team has won seven of the last eight games between the Oilers and Islanders.
  • The Oilers have lost 12 of their last 18 games as road favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Islanders have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Oilers have lost the second period in each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Why the Edmonton Oilers will win

  • The Islanders have lost each of their last six night games.
  • The Oilers have won six of their last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Oilers have covered the puck line in six of their last seven games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Islanders have lost the second period in each of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Islanders’ last 10 games as underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Oilers’ last six night games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the last nine Thursday night games between teams from different conferences have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in eight of the Oilers’ last nine games following a road win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Islanders’ last four games as home underdogs.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Horvat has scored a goal in three of the Islanders’ last four home games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Mathew Barzal has recorded an assist in each of his last three home appearances against the Oilers.
  • Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight Thursday appearances against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Bo Horvat has recorded at least four shots in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

  • Leon Draisaitl has scored the first goal in four of the Oilers’ last five games against the Islanders.
  • Mattias Ekholm has recorded an assist in three of his last four appearances against the Islanders.
  • Mattias Ekholm has recorded a point in each of his four previous appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Islanders.
  • Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last five games against the Islanders.
  • Leon Draisaitl ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Islanders rank 30th in the league for goals against per game this season (4.33).
  • The New York Islanders rank 28th in the league for goals per game this season (2.33).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (1.33).
  • The Edmonton Oilers rank T25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.67).

Oilers vs Islanders Prediction

The Oilers won both meetings against the Islanders last season. At home by 4-3 and on the road by 2-1, both in overtime. They are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Islanders, but the Islanders are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in New York. Under is 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.

In this Oilers vs Islanders Prediction, the Oilers are coming as -170 road favorites. The Islanders have been terrible to start the season, having lost all of their three games, and their defense has been abysmal, allowing 4.3 goals per game. On the flip side, the Oilers are coming off back-to-back wins, they have an elite defense, and have won their only road game so far. Edmonton is the better team in this spot, and I am willing to lay the juice with them on the road. Take the Oilers on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Edmonton Oilers ML

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