Ducks vs Oilers Prediction 3/4/25 NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Ducks vs Oilers prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 4th at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Anaheim Ducks Betting Preview

The Anaheim Ducks are 26-26-7 this year after they lost to Chicago by a score of 6-3 in their last game. Anaheim only trailed 3-2 heading into the third period, but they allowed the first three goals in the third period for the loss. The Ducks outshot Chicago by a total of 31-24, won 60.4% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Anaheim got goals from Carlsson (2) and LaCombe, while Gibson stopped 18 out of 24 shots in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Ducks defeated the Canucks by a score of 5-2, but did lose to the Sabres by a score of 3-2 before that. Anaheim has lost three of their last four games and they are currently sixth in the Pacific standings with 59 points. Anaheim has scored 2.56 goals per game and they have allowed 3.07 goals against per game, while also going 12.6% on the power play and 73.8% on the penalty kill this season. Troy Terry has led Anaheim with 17 goals, 28 assists, and 128 shots on goal, while Ryan Strome has added nine goals, 26 assists, and 107 shots on goal. John Gibson is 9-10-2 with a 2.81 goals-against average and a .911 save percentage this year. 

Edmonton Oilers Betting Preview

The Edmonton Oilers are 35-21-4 this season after they defeated Carolina by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Edmonton had their lead cut to 2-1 in the third period, but they scored an empty net goal late in the third to put the game away. The Oilers were outshot by a total of 36-31, won 50.9% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. Edmonton got goals from Henrique, Perry, and Bouchard, while Pickard stopped 35 out of 36 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Oilers lost to the Panthers by a score of 4-3 and the Lightning by a score of 4-1. Edmonton has lost five of their last six games and they are currently second in the Pacific standings with 74 points. Edmonton has scored 3.25 goals per game and they have allowed 2.88 goals against per game, while also going 25.5% on the power play and 75% on the penalty kill this season. Leon Draisaitl has led Edmonton with 44 goals, 46 assists, and 200 shots on goal, while Connor McDavid has added 22 goals, 53 assists, and 165 shots on goal. Calvin Pickard is 15-6-0 with a 2.61 goals against average and a .901 save percentage this year. 

Why the Ducks will beat the Oilers 

• The Oilers have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
• The Ducks have won each of their last three games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
• The Ducks have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine night games at Rogers Place following a road win.
• The Oilers have lost the third period in each of their last three games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents when tied after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Ducks’ last eight games against the Oilers following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Oilers’ last seven Tuesday games has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four night games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the last 10 games between the Ducks and Oilers at Rogers Place.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in 12 of the Ducks’ last 13 games following a home loss.

Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Facts

• Leon Draisaitl has scored at least one goal in each of the Oilers’ last five games as favorites.
• Leon Draisaitl has recorded at least one point in each of the Oilers’ last 19 games against Western Conference opponents.
• Evan Bouchard has recorded at least one assist in each of the Oilers’ last seven games against the Ducks at Rogers Place.

Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts

• Leo Carlsson has recorded at least one point in each of the Ducks’ last four road games.
• Jackson LaCombe has recorded at least one assist in five of the Ducks’ last six road games.
• Frank Vatrano has scored a goal in three of the Ducks’ last four games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Edmonton Oilers rank 8th in the league for goals per game this season (3.25).
• The Edmonton Oilers rank 1st in the league for shots per game this season (32.0).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 28th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (73.81%).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (0.71).

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Ducks vs Oilers Prediction 

Edmonton comes into this matchup looking for their second straight win and they will have the home-ice advantage here. The Oilers are 18-10-2 at home this year, while the Ducks are 12-13-5 on the road. Anaheim has lost three of their last four games and they are one of the lowest scoring teams in the league, as they are scoring just 2.56 goals per game. Neither team is playing very well right now, but Anaheim has already beaten Edmonton once this year and lost by one in the other meeting. The Ducks have shown the ability to play decent defense at times this year and I think they can keep this one close. Take Anaheim +1.5 here.