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Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 11/8/24
Pick details
Toronto Maple Leafs (7-5-2) vs Detroit Red Wings (6-5-1)
November 8, 2024 at 07:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -185 / Detroit Red Wings +150 — Over/Under: 6.5
The Detroit Red Wings and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Friday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.
Detroit Red Wings Betting Preview
The Detroit Red Wings beat the Sabres and Blackhawks, and they play the Rangers, Penguins, and Ducks next. The Detroit Red Wings are averaging 2.75 goals per game and are scoring 25 percent of their power play opportunities. Dylan Larkin leads Detroit with 8 goals, Lucas Raymond has 11 assists and Alex DeBrincat has 24 shots on goal. Defensively, the Detroit Red Wings are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 69.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Cam Talbot has given up 15 goals on 210 shots faced, while Alex Lyon has allowed 15 goals on 178 shots.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Bruins, lost to the Wild, and they play the Canadiens and Senators next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.07 goals per game and are scoring 14.9 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 10 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 14 shots on goal and Auston Matthews has 56 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.79 goals per game and are killing 86 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 19 goals on 264 shots faced, and Dennis Hildeby has given up 8 goals on 61 shots.
Why the Detroit Red Wings will win
- The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs.
- The Maple Leafs have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in 29 of their last 33 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last five games against the Maple Leafs.
- The Red Wings have won the first period in three of their last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home games against opponents on a winning streak has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the Red Wings’ last five road games following a road win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs last 11 home games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last six Friday games.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games against the Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena.
- Morgan Rielly has recorded at least one assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 11 games against the Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena.
- Matthew Knies has scored a goal in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts
- Alex DeBrincat has scored a goal in four of the Red Wings’ last five games as underdogs.
- Vladimir Tarasenko has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances in night games at Scotiabank Arena.
- Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one point in nine of his last 10 road appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 26th in the league in power play percentage this season (14.89%).
- The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T1st in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (0).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for shots per game this season (24.3).
- The Detroit Red Wings rank 31st in the league for shots against per game this season (33.7).
Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
The Toronto Maple Leafs are getting the benefit of the doubt at home, and they’re the better team. However, the Detroit Red Wings have been able to string together wins here and there, and they’ve played some of their best hockey on the road. The Red Wings have also won 4 of their last 5 games against the Maple Leafs. I’ll take my chances with the Red Wings given the nice plus-money price we’re getting attached to them.