The Detroit Red Wings and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Wednesday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.

Detroit Red Wings Recap

The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 OT win over Ottawa last time out to sit at 30-16-4 this season. After this game, Detroit will head on the road for a game against the Minnesota Wild.

Red Wings Win 6 Of Last 7

Lucas Raymond leads the Red Wings in scoring with 53 points coming on 15 goals and a team-high 38 assists while Alex DeBrincat has 52 points with 26 goals and 26 assists. Dylan Larkin has 44 points with 24 goals and 20 assists and Moritz Seider has 33 points with 7 goals and 26 assists. Patrick Kane has 29 points with 8 goals and 21 assists and Andrew Copp also has 8 goals and 22 assists for his 30 points. Cam Talbot has gone 11-7-3 with a 2.95 GAA and an .892 save percentage while John Gibson is 19-9-1 with a 2.95 GAA and an .892 save percentage so far this season in goal for Detroit.

Toronto Maple Leafs Recap

The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-3 loss at the hands of Minnesota in their last game to sit at 30-16-4 this season. After this game, Toronto will head home for a game against the Vegas Golden Knights.

Maple Leafs Drop 3 Of Last 4

William Nylander leads the Maple Leafs with 48 points on 17 goals and a team-high 31 assists while John Tavares has 43 points with 18 goals and 25 assists and Matthew Knies has 41 points with 12 goals and 29 assists. Auston Matthews has 42 points with 25 goals and 17 assists and Morgan Rielly has 29 points with 23 assists. Oliver Ekman-Larsson has 31 points with 23 assists. Anthony Stolarz has gone 6-5-1 with a 3.51 GAA and an .884 save percentage in goal for the Maple Leafs while Joseph Woll is 11-5-3 with a 2.90 GAA and a .910 save percentage. Dennis Hildeby is also 5-6-4 with a 2.96 GAA and a .910 save percentage this season.

Detroit Red Wings @ Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends: January 21, 2026

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight home games.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last five road games following an overtime win.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents after coming off overtime.
• The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last six night games against the Red Wings following a loss.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Maple Leafs have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Red Wings and Maple Leafs.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last four games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last eight home games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last seven games against the Maple Leafs following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Four of the last five games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last nine games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last nine games following a loss.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Scott Laughton has scored at least one goal in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Red Wings.
• William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Maple Leafs as home favorites.
• Auston Matthews has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Larkin has scored at least one goal in five of the Red Wings’ last six road games against the Maple Leafs.
• Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last six Wednesday games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Mason Appleton has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.37).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.08%).
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 6th in the league in power play percentage this season (25.16%).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (7).

Detroit Red Wings vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

I’m on the Maple Leafs here. I just think that Toronto at home is in a must-win situation right now, with so much at stake in terms of trying to get themselves back in a playoff position. I think Detroit’s been in a great run of form this season, but in the end, I think Toronto ends up being too much here and gets it done at home. Give me Toronto in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Toronto -115