Mar 31, 2026; Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA;  Detroit Red Wings right wing Alex DeBrincat (93) skates with the puck against the Pittsburgh Penguins during the third period at PPG Paints Arena. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images
Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 4/13/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Detroit Red Wings Tampa Bay Lightning
Team Records 41-30-9 49-25-6
Spread +1.5 -148 -1.5 124
Moneyline +164 -198
Total Over 6.5 (105) Under 6.5 (-125)
Where Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
When Monday, April 13, 2026
Time 07:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+

The Detroit Red Wings and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Thursday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

Detroit Red Wings Recap

The Detroit Red Wings come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-3 loss at the hands of New Jersey last time out to sit at 41-30-9 this season. After this game, the Red Wings will head on the road for a game against the Florida Panthers.

Red Wings Drop 7 Of Last 10

Alex DeBrincat has 83 points with a team-high 40 goals and 43 assists while Lucas Raymond has 76 points with 25 goals and 51 assists. Dylan Larkin has 67 points with 34 goals and 33 assists and Moritz Seider has 60 points with 10 goals and 50 assists. Patrick Kane has 56 points with 16 goals and 40 assists and Andrew Copp also has 9 goals and 34 assists for his 43 points. Cam Talbot has gone 12-9-5 with a 3.07 GAA and an .888 save percentage while John Gibson is 29-21-4 with a 2.67 GAA and a .903 save percentage so far this season in goal for Detroit.

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 win over Boston last time out to sit at 49-25-6 this season. After this game, the Lightning will take on the New York Rangers at home.

Lightning Snap Three-Game Slide

Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning in scoring with 128 points including 43 goals and 85 assists while Brandon Hagel has 74 points with 36 goals and 38 assists and Jake Guentzel has 87 points with 37 goals and 50 assists. Anthony Cirelli has 52 points with 23 goals and 29 assists. Darren Raddysh has also added 70 points with 22 goals and 48 assists as well on the year. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 38-15-4 with a 2.30 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 11-10-2 with a 3.29 GAA and an .884 save percentage this season. 

Detroit Red Wings @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: April 13, 2026


Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

  • The Red Wings have lost 20 of their last 24 night games at Benchmark International Arena.
  • The home team has won five of the Lightning’s last six games.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last six games.
  • The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

  • The Red Wings have won four of their last five games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Lightning have lost four of their last five night games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last 12 Monday games.
  • The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games.
  • In each of the Red Wings’ last four away games, the team leading after the second period has won the third period.

Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Red Wings’ last five games against the Lightning following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Lightning’s last five games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Three of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last 11 home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last four games following a home loss.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Hagel has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances.
  • Jake Guentzel has recorded at least one assist in five of the Lightning’s last six night games at Benchmark International Arena.
  • Nikita Kucherov ranks 1st in the league for multi-assist games (25) this season.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

  • Alex DeBrincat has scored a goal in three of the Red Wings’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last four games.
  • J.T. Compher has scored two goals against the Lightning this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of only two teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 3rd in the league for goals against per game this season (2.78).
  • The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
  • The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.60).

Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Lightning here. I just think the Lightning are the better team here and hte only team with anything of consequence to play for in this game. The Red Wings got bounced from playoff contention again with their loss to the Devils and I think it’s just a play out the string situation against a Lightning team that needs to win out to try to secure another Atlantic division title. Give me the Lightning.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Tampa Bay -205

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