Detroit Red Wings vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 3/31/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 90 points this season with a 37-21-16 record, and are 44-30 ATS and 42-30 in over/under. They have a 17-12-8 home record and a 20-9-8 road record and are sitting 3rd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off an 8-3 road victory over the Islanders and their previous three games were a 6-3 home loss to the Stars, a 4-3 road shootout win over the Senators and a 6-2 home loss to the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 24.3% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.07 goals per game and are killing 81.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 66 points and 28 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 47. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 21-15-9 record, with 2.91 GAA and .888 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 17-10-8 record, with 2.99 GAA and .891 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 86 points this season with a 39-26-8 record, and are 37-36 ATS and 33-36 in over/under. They have a 20-14-3 home record and a 19-12-5 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-5 home defeat by the Flyers and their previous three games were a 5-2 road win over the Sabres, a 3-2 home loss to the Senators and a 4-2 home loss to the Bruins.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 2.92 goals per game and are scoring 21.9% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.95 goals per game and are killing 77.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex DeBrincat leads the Red Wings with 78 points and 37 goals, while Lucas Raymond leads the team in assists with 47. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 27-18-3 record, with 2.58 GAA and .905 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 12-8-5 record, with 3.03 GAA and .891 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: March 31, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Red Wings’ last five games.
• The Red Wings have lost each of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in 18 of their last 19 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• The Red Wings have lost the first period in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last eight away games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Penguins have lost each of their last four night games at PPG Paints Arena.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the Penguins’ last nine games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last six games as road favorites.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last 10 night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Red Wings’ last five road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Tuesday night games between two teams from the Eastern Conference have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 12 of the last 13 games between the Red Wings and Penguins.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as favorites against the Penguins.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Yegor Chinakhov has scored a goal in each of the Penguins’ last five games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last nine games against the Red Wings.
• Parker Wotherspoon has recorded three assists against the Red Wings this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• James van Riemsdyk has scored a goal in five of his last six road appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Andrew Copp has recorded at least one assist in each of the Red Wings’ last five games as road favorites.
• Moritz Seider has recorded an assist in each of his last four appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (81.82%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).
• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.59).

Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction

The Penguins have won both previous meetings against the Red Wings this season, at home by 4-3 in overtime and on the road by 4-1, and are 5-2 in their last 7 head-to-head meetings.

In this Red Wings vs Penguins Prediction, the Red Wings are coming as -115 road favorites. The Penguins are on the second leg of a back-to-back and are coming off a huge 8-3 road victory over the Islanders. On the flip side, the Red Wings have been struggling with a 3-6 record in their last 9 games and are 1-3 in their last 4 on the road. I don’t trust either team in this matchup, but both have been playing high-scoring games lately, as the Penguins are 9-1 to the over in their last 10 games and the last two Red Wings’ game had 7 and 8 total goals. Take the over 6.5 in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Over 6.5