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Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 1/12/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Ottawa Senators (20-18-3) vs Dallas Stars (27-13-1)
January 12, 2025 at 05:00 PM EST
The Line: Betting Odds: Ottawa Senators +114 / Dallas Stars -135 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Dallas Stars and Ottawa Senators meet Sunday in NHL action at the Canadian Tire Centre. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Pick.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars beat the Canadiens and Flyers, and they play the Maple Leafs, Canadiens, Avalanche, and Red Wings next. The Dallas Stars are averaging 3.22 goals per game and are scoring on 16.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Rope Hintz leads Dallas with 19 goals, Jason Robertson has 24 assists and Wyatt Johnston has 111 shots on goal. Defensively, the Dallas Stars are allowing 2.46 goals per game and are killing 84.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jake Oettinger has allowed 71 goals on 790 shots faced, and Casey DeSmith has given up 24 goals on 285 shots.
Ottawa Senators Betting Preview
The Ottawa Senators lost to the Sabres, beat the Penguins, and they play the Islanders, Capitals, and Bruins next. The Ottawa Senators are averaging 2.9 goals per game and are scoring 24.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Brady Tkachuk leads Ottawa with 18 goals, Tim Stutzle has 29 assists and Thomas Chabot has 94 shots on goal. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 2.85 goals per game and are killing 78.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 51 goals on 602 shots faced, and Anton Forsberg has given up 41 goals on 350 shots.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Stars have lost each of their last seven night games at Canadian Tire Centre.
- The underdogs have won five of the Stars’ last six games at Canadian Tire Centre.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games at Canadian Tire Centre.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in eight of their last nine games against the Stars.
- The Senators have won the second period in four of their last five games against the Stars at Canadian Tire Centre.
Why the Dallas Stars will win
- The Stars have won each of their last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Senators have lost six of their last seven night games.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Stars have covered the puck line in 11 of their last 12 Sunday games.
- The Senators have lost the first period in each of their last six Sunday night games.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- David Perron has scored a goal in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against the Stars.
- Brady Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against the Stars.
- Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last five games against the Stars.
Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts
- Jamie Benn has scored a goal in four of the Stars’ last five road games.
- Jamie Benn has recorded at least one point in eight of the Stars’ last nine games.
- Jason Robertson has recorded at least one assist in four of the Stars’ last five road games against opponents who are playing on the second leg of a back-to-back.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Ottawa Senators rank 28th in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (0.88).
- The Ottawa Senators rank T7th in the league in short-handed goals this season (4).
- The Dallas Stars rank 27th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.54%).
- The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
Dallas Stars vs Ottawa Senators Prediction
The Ottawa Senators are getting too much respect from oddsmakers, and this line makes no sense. The Senators have lost six of their last eight games and their offense continues to come up short. The Dallas Stars have won seven straight games and haven’t lost since December 27. The Stars have scored three or more goals in six of their last eight games. If that sort of production continues, the struggling Senators are going to have a hard time keeping up. The Stars also blasted the Senators a little over a week ago by a score of 4-2. Why this line is so soft is a bit puzzling. The Stars are one of the better teams in the league, and the Senators can’t get out of their own way. I’ll gladly lay the cheap price with the Stars on the road, one of the better bets on Sunday’s NHL card.