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Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 4/26/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) vs Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
April 26, 2025 at 09:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -180 / Dallas Stars +145 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, April 26, at the Ball Arena in Denver, CO. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars (52-27-6, 39-46 ATS) surprisingly lost Game 1 of the first-round playoff series against the Colorado Avalanche, but responded with two overtime wins and regained the home-ice advantage. The Stars trailed 1-0 until the third period in Game 3 in Denver when Jamie Benn tied the score with a power-play goal, and then Tyler Seguin scored a winner in overtime. Jake Oettinger saved 27 of the 28 shots he faced.
The Stars score 3.35 goals per game on average (3rd), while they concede 2.71 GPG (6th). This season, Matt Duchene leads the team with 82 points (30 G and 52 A). Jason Robertson has 80 points (35 G and 45 A), while Wyatt Johnston chips in with 73 points (33 G and 40 A).
Jake Oettinger (37-19-4) is expected to start for the Stars at the goal on Saturday against the Avalanche. The 26-year-old is allowing 2.59 goals per game this year with a .909 SV% and two shutouts.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche (50-29-6, 37-48 ATS) were convincing in Game 1 5-1 win in Dallas, and even though they lost Game 2 in overtime, they still returned to Denver with the home-ice advantage. Well, that advantage evaporated with another overtime loss, and now the Avs have to win to avoid going into the 3-1 hole. Valeri Nichushkin got Colorado a 1-0 lead in the opening period of Game 3, but the Stars forced overtime and later snatched the win. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 26 of the 28 shots he faced.
The Avalanche average 3.33 goals per game this year (6th), while they allow 2.82 GPG (11th). Nathan MacKinnon leads the team with 120 points (35 G and 85 A). Cale Makar contributes 94 points (30 G and 64 A), while Artturi Lehkonen has 47 points (28 G and 19 A).
Mackenzie Blackwood (29-23-6) will likely take his place in the cage for the Avs on Saturday against the Stars. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.55 goals per game this year with a .912 SV% and four shutouts.
Why the Avalanche will beat the Stars
- The Avalanche have won four of their last five Game 4s of a Western Conference First Round series.
- The Stars have lost six of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three road games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The favorites have won the second period in six of the last seven games between the Stars and Avalanche.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Avalanche’s last six home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the Stars’ last four games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in five of the Stars’ last six games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in 17 of the last 19 games between the Stars and Avalanche.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.32).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.9).
- The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
- The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
Stars vs Avalanche Prediction
The Stars won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, while this season’s series is currently tied at 3-3. I backed the Avalanche to win Game 3, but they fell short. This time around, they cannot afford to lose because if they do, the Stars will get a match point on home ice. Following a pair of overtimes, I don’t expect another one on Saturday. I am going with the Avalanche to win in regulation and score 4+ goals.
