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Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 4/23/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Colorado Avalanche (49-29-4) vs Dallas Stars (50-26-6)
April 23, 2025 at 09:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Avalanche -180 / Dallas Stars +150 — Over/Under: 6.5
In this article, we will formulate a Stars vs Avalanche prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, April 23, at the Ball Arena in Denver, CO. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Dallas Stars Betting Preview
The Dallas Stars (51-27-6, 38-46 ATS) were on a seven-game winning streak, and even though they lost the final seven games of the regular season, they secured the second place in the Central Division with 106 points, four ahead of the Avalanche. Dallas lost 5-1 in Game 1 of the series against Colorado but responded with a 4-3 overtime win to tie the series. Colin Blackwell scored the winner in OT, while Tyler Seguin, Thomas Harley, and Evgenii Dadonov also scored for the Stars.
The Stars score 3.35 goals per game on average (3rd), while they concede 2.71 GPG (6th). This season, Matt Duchene leads the team with 82 points (30 G and 52 A). Jason Robertson has 80 points (35 G and 45 A), while Wyatt Johnston chips in with 73 points (33 G and 40 A).
Jake Oettinger (36-19-4) is expected to start for the Stars at the goal on Wednesday against the Stars. The 26-year-old is allowing 2.59 goals per game this year with a .909 SV% and two shutouts.
Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview
The Colorado Avalanche (50-29-5, 37-47 ATS) had an opportunity to climb to the 2nd place in the Central Division and secure the home-ice advantage in Round 1 of the playoffs, but they have been inconsistent late in the season and blew that chance. Colorado concluded the season with two road games: a loss to the Kings and a win over the Ducks. The Avs were convincing in a 5-1 Game 1 win over the Stars, but even though they had a 3-2 lead after the two periods in Game 2, they were left empty-handed in overtime. Nathan MacKinnon, Jack Drury, and Logan O’Connor scored for Colorado.
The Avalanche average 3.33 goals per game this year (6th), while they allow 2.82 GPG (11th). Nathan MacKinnon leads the team with 120 points (35 G and 85 A). Cale Makar contributes 94 points (30 G and 64 A), while Artturi Lehkonen has 47 points (28 G and 19 A).
Mackenzie Blackwood (29-22-6) will likely take his place in the cage for the Avs on Wednesday against the Stars. The 28-year-old is allowing 2.55 goals per game this year with a .912 SV% and four shutouts.
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Why the Avalanche will beat the Stars
- The Stars have lost six of their last seven games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Avalanche have won five of their last six Game 3s of a Western Conference First Round series.
- The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games against Central Division opponents.
- The Avalanche have covered the puck line in nine of their last 12 night games at Ball Arena.
- The Avalanche have won the second period in each of their last five games against the Stars when tied after the first period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Avalanche’s last five home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Four of the Stars’ last five games at Ball Arena following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Three of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in seven of the Stars’ last eight games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Stars and Avalanche.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.32).
- The Colorado Avalanche rank 3rd in the league for shots against per game this season (25.9).
- The Dallas Stars rank 6th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.71).
- The Dallas Stars are one of seven teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
Stars vs Avalanche Prediction
The Stars won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Avalanche won three of the last four. Another tight affair is upon us, but I am backing the Avalanche to get the win and take a 2-1 lead. They already broke the Stars and now have the home-ice advantage. Given the experience of their players and the fact that the core of this team already won the Stanley Cup a few years ago, I am going with the Avs. Nathan MacKinnon is a different type of “animal” in the playoffs. He will lead his team to a win in this one.
