Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche Prediction 3/16/25 NHL Picks

The Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche meet Sunday in NHL action from the Ball Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction.

Matchup History

The two teams have split the regular season meetings so far this season, with the home team emerging victorious in both matchups. Dallas won the first meeting at home by a final score of 5-3 on November 29th, 2024, before Colorado got revenge at home on January 18th, 2025, by a final count of 6-3.

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to bounce back from a 4-1 loss at the hands of the Winnipeg Jets last time out to fall to 42-21-2 on the year. After this game, Dallas will head home for a matchup with the Anaheim Ducks.

Stars Looking To Find Some Consistency

Matt Duchene has 66 points including 25 goals along with 41 assists. Jason Robertson has 66 points with 28 goals and 38 assists while Roope Hintz has 52 points with 25 goals and Jamie Benn has 40 points with 16 goals and 24 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 60 points with 24 goals and 36 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov added 36 points split between 16 goals and 20 assists and Thomas Harley has 39 points with 12 goals and 27 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 30-15-2 with a 2.52 GAA and a .907 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 12-6 with a 2.42 GAA and a .914 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Stars have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Avalanche have lost each of their last three games as favorites following a road win.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three games as favorites following a road win.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Roope Hintz has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Mikael Granlund has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine Sunday appearances against Western Conference opponents.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Mason Marchment has scored two goals against the Avalanche this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Recap

The Colorado Avalanche come into this one looking to build on their 4-2 win over the Calgary Flames last time out to sit at 40-24-3 on the year. After this game, the Colorado Avalanche will begin a road trip with a game against the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Avalanche Win 7 Of Their Last 8

Nathan MacKinnon has a team-high 102 points including 27 goals and a team-high 75 assists while Cale Makar has 75 points with 24 goals and 51 assists. Casey Mittelstadt has 34 points with 11 goals and 23 assists. Artturi Lehkonen also has 41 points with 27 goals while Devon Toews has 32 points with 25 assists as well. Mackenzie Blackwood is 18-7-3 with a 2.17 GAA and a .919 save percentage while Scott Wedgewood has gone 8-4 with a 2.03 GAA and a .921 save percentage in goal for Colorado on the year.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Avalanche have won each of their last eight games at Ball Arena.
• The Stars have lost three of their last four road games.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Avalanche’s last eight games at Ball Arena.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six day games against Central Division opponents.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Joel Kiviranta has scored a goal in four of the Avalanche’s last five games.
• Brock Nelson has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight home appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Jonathan Drouin has recorded at least one point in each of his last seven appearances against the Stars.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Points (102) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Seven of the Avalanche’s last eight games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the last four games between two teams from the Central Division has gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Stars’ last six day games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche Prediction

I’m on the Avalanche here. The home team has won both meetings this season and that kind of plays into the split of the Dallas Stars this season. They’re just a much better team at home and while they’re not a bad road team necessarily I just think that the home ice is the difference in this spot. Look for this game to feel like a potential playoff preview as these two teams could very well meet down the line and I think the Avalanche get the better of it here. Give me Colorado.