Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 1/6/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

The Colorado Avalanche and Tampa Bay Lightning meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Benchmark International Arena. Here’s a Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Pick.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Hurricanes, lost to the Panthers, and they play the Senators next. The Avalanche have won 10 of their last 11 games.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring on 16.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Nathan MacKinnon leads Colorado with 35 goals, Cale Makar has 35 assists and Artturi Lehkonen has 102 shots on goal. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 2.17 goals per game and are killing 85.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Scott Wedgewood has given up 54 goals on 657 shots faced, and Mackenzie Blackwood has allowed 30 goals on 394 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Kings and Sharks, and they play the Flyers next. The Lightning have won 7 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.35 goals per game and are scoring on 18 percent of their power play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 20 goals, Jake Guentzel has 25 assists, and Brandon Hagel has 107 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.65 goals per game and are killing 83.7 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 58 goals on 651 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 46 goals on 433 shots.

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last seven games.
• The Avalanche have lost four of their last seven games as road favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last six home games against the Avalanche.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as road favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Avalanche have lost the first period in each of their last six games at Benchmark International Arena.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The favorites have won each of the last eight games between the Avalanche and Lightning.
• The Avalanche have covered the puck line in six of their last seven night games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games at Benchmark International Arena following a road win.
• The Lightning have lost the second period in six of their last seven games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last four games against Central Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last four night games at Benchmark International Arena against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 11 games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last eight night games.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Nick Paul has scored a goal in each of his last five appearances with the Lightning as home underdogs.
• Victor Hedman has recorded at least one assist in each of his last five appearances with the Lightning as underdogs.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded a positive plus minus rating in each of his last five appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in four of the Avalanche’s last five road games.
• Nathan MacKinnon has recorded at least one assist in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games as favorites against the Lightning.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (35) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 4th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.66).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning are one of four teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (85.59%).
• The Colorado Avalanche are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 5 for both goals for and goals against per game this season.

Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

This should be a hell of a matchup between two teams that are on fire right now. While the Avs lost to the Panthers in their last outing, they haven’t lost two straight games since October 26. However, the Lightning have won 7 straight games and are absolutely rolling on the offensive side. It feels like the Lightning are in peak form right now and just itching to get a marquee victory to solidify this run and themselves as legit contenders. You can make a case for either side, but I’ll side with the Lightning on their home ice.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning