Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 3/24/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate an Avalanche vs Penguins Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins Preview

The Penguins have 86 points this season with a 35-19-16 record, and are 42-28 ATS and 38-30 in over/under. They have a 17-10-8 home record and a 18-9-8 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 5-1 home loss to the Hurricanes, and their previous three games were a 5-4 home shootout win over the Jets, a 6-5 road overtime loss to the Hurricanes, and a 7-2 road win over the Avalanche.

Offensively, the Penguins are averaging 3.41 goals per game and are scoring 24.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.99 goals per game and are killing 83.2% of their opponent’s power plays.

Sidney Crosby leads the Penguins with 63 points and 28 goals, while Erik Karlsson leads the team in assists with 43. Stuart Skinner is the starting goalie for the Penguins, and he has a 20-14-9 record, with 2.88 GAA and .889 SV%. Arturs Silovs is the backup goalie and he has a 16-9-8 record, with 2.92 GAA and .894 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche Preview

The Avalanche have 102 points this season with a 46-13-10 record, and are 35-34 ATS and 29-38 in over/under. They have a 23-6-5 home record and a 23-7-5 road record and are sitting 1st in the Central Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road overtime win over the Capitals, and their previous three games were a 4-1 road win over the Blackhawks, a 2-1 home shootout loss to the Stars, and a 7-2 home loss to the Penguins.

Offensively, the Avalanche are averaging 3.68 goals per game and are scoring 16.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.45 goals per game and are killing 82.8% of their opponent’s power plays.

Nathan MacKinnon leads the Avalanche with 114 points and 45 goals, adding a team-high 69 assists. Scott Wedgewood is the starting goalie for the Avalanche, and he has a 25-5-6 record, with 2.19 GAA and .916 SV%. Mackenzie Blackwood is the backup goalie and he has a 20-8-1 record, with 2.42 GAA and .906 SV%.

Colorado Avalanche @ Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends: March 24, 2026

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Penguins have won each of their last five games against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 11 road games following a road win.
• The Penguins have won the second period in eight of their last nine games against Western Conference opponents when tied after the first period.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Penguins have lost each of their last six games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Avalanche have won eight of their last nine road games.
• The road team has covered the puck line in 10 of the Penguins’ last 11 games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five home games.
• The Penguins have lost the second period in eight of their last nine home games when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last nine games as home underdogs following a home loss have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Avalanche’s last eight night games against Metropolitan Division opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Penguins’ last six games against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in 14 of the Avalanche’s last 16 games after coming off overtime.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Rust has scored at least one goal in each of the Penguins’ last four games as home underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• Evgeni Malkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six home appearances against the Avalanche.
• Elmer Soderblom has recorded two points against the Avalanche this season – most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored the first goal in three of the Avalanche’s last four road games against the Penguins.
• Martin Necas has scored a goal in seven of the Avalanche’s last eight road games.
• Martin Necas has recorded at least one assist in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a road favorite against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• Nathan MacKinnon ranks 1st in the league for Goals (45) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 2nd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (83.17%).
• The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 5th in the league in power play percentage this season (24.62%).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals per game this season (3.68).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 1st in the league for goals against per game this season (2.45).

Avalanche vs Penguins Prediction

The Penguins won their previous meeting against the Avalanche this season by 7-2 on the road and both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Avalanche vs Penguins Prediction, the Avalanche are coming as -165 road favorites. The Avalanche have won two straight following a three-game losing streak and they are playing excellent defense, having conceded just 5 goals in their last three games. On the flip side, the Penguins have been mediocre lately, with a 4-6 record in their last 10 games and are 2-3 in their last 5 at home, so I don’t trust them to win against the best team in hockey. Take the Avalanche on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML