Capitals vs Senators Prediction 11/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Capitals vs Senators Prediction

I’d love to grab the plus money with the Capitals, as they’re a team I’ve hyped up from the start and have backed a lot this season. However, I’m leaning toward the over. The Capitals are a top-10 scoring team, and they’ve seen the over cash in 11 of their first 15 games. Also, the Senators and Caps have produced seven or more goals in seven of their last 10 games. The last five games have produced an average of 7.6 goals.

The Senators aren’t great offensively, but I’m going to back the Capitals trend this season and the high-scoring history between these teams. Expect some fireworks on Tuesday. Give me the over.

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals lost to the Stars, beat the Panthers, and they play the Devils next. The Capitals have won 6 of their last 9 games. The Capitals are 2-2-0 SU on the road, 7-4-0 SU at home, and 7-8 ATS on the season.

The Washington Capitals average 3.53 goals per game and are scoring on 20 percent of their power-play opportunities. Alex Tuch leads the Capitals with 11 goals, 2 assists, and 42 shots. Boone Jenner has 6 goals, 1 assist, and 34 shots. Jordan Kyrou has 5 goals, 9 assists, and 24 shots. Defensively, the Washington Capitals are allowing 3.4 goals per game and are killing 76.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Logan Thompson has given up 33 goals on 294 shots faced. Charlie Lindgren has allowed 14 goals on 118 shots.

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators beat the Sabres and Mammoth, and they play the Avs next. The Senators have split their last 10 games. The Senators are 5-4-1 SU on the road, 6-2-0 SU at home, and 7-11 ATS on the season.

The Ottawa Senators are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring on 13.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 9 goals, 14 assists, and 42 shots. Drake Batherson has 9 goals, 9 assists, and 40 shots. Shane Pinto has 7 goals, 7 assists, and 34 shots. Defensively, the Ottawa Senators are allowing 3 goals per game and are killing 74.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Linus Ullmark has allowed 10 goals on 182 shots faced. Samuel Ersson has given up 22 goals on 200 shots. Jonas Johansson has allowed 16 goals on 105 shots.

Capitals vs Senators Injury Report

The Senators will be without Andre Burakovsky. Warren Foegele is out with a knee injury. William Eklund is out with an ankle injury.

The Capitals will be without Vincent Desharnais and Patrick Thomas. Rasmus Sandin is out with a knee injury.

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Senators have won each of their last four home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Capitals have lost three of their last four games at Canadian Tire Centre.
• The Capitals have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last three night games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Senators have won the third period in seven of their last eight night games at Canadian Tire Centre following a home win.

Why the Washington Capitals will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Senators’ last three games.
• The Senators have lost five of their last six games following a win.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in 10 of the last 11 games between the Capitals and Senators.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 10 of their last 12 games as favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Senators have lost the second period in five of their last six games following a win.

Total Goals Facts

• Nine of the Senators’ last 10 night games against the Capitals following a home win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Capitals’ last eight night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last eight night games.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last three games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Tim Stutzle has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five games as home favorites.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances against the Capitals.
• Shane Pinto has recorded 14 career points against the Capitals – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

• Alex Tuch has scored at least one goal in each of the Capitals’ last three games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in each of the Capitals’ last six Tuesday games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Pierre-Luc Dubois has recorded 17 career assists against the Senators – most against any opponent (including playoffs).

Matchup/League Facts

• The Ottawa Senators are the only team to lose a game when leading by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
• The Ottawa Senators rank T2nd in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (0.61).
• The Washington Capitals have recorded the most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Washington Capitals rank 3rd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.60).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Over