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| MATCHUP | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Spread | -9.5 -112 | +9.5 -108 |
| Moneyline | -520 | +390 |
| Total | Over 166.5 (-110) | Under 166.5 (-110) |
| Where | Tucker Center, Tallahassee, FL | |
| When | Tuesday, November 10, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
Florida vs Florida State Prediction
In this Florida vs Florida State Prediction, Florida is coming as -9.5 road favorites. Both teams have been undefeated this season, having won both of their games played and Florida State has also been perfect against the spread. Both teams play excellent offense, as they average 184.5 points per game combined and they also play elite defense, allowing just 130.5 points per game combined. The Seminoles have better numbers than the Gators in a small sample size and have kept their previous meeting last season a close one, losing by just two points. They are also 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings against Florida so I don’t expect this game to be a blowout. Take Florida State and grab those plus points at home in this one.
Florida State Seminoles Preview
The Florida State Seminoles have a 2-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 1-0 neutral record. They are coming off a 91-68 home win against Troy and will face Texas A&M–Corpus Christi and Ball State next.
Offensively, they are averaging 102 points per game (ranking 15th in the nation), while allowing 68.5 points per game defensively (ranking 151st in the nation) and have a 136.6 offensive rating (ranking 14th) and a 91.7 defensive rating (ranking 127th). The Seminoles are shooting 49.6% from the field (ranking 98th) and 28.8% from beyond the arc (ranking 257th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 40.2% from the field (ranking 156th) and 35.8% from the 3-point range (ranking 284th). They are shooting with a 83.6% from the free-throw line (ranking 13th). They are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game (ranking 43rd) and allow 25 rebounds per game off their opponents (9th), while averaging 17.5 assists per game (ranking 104th) and allowing their opponents to dish 13 assists per game (191st). They average 1 block per game (ranking 337th) and 8.5 steals per game (ranking 136th), while committing 9.5 turnovers per game (ranking 50th) and forcing their opponents into 14 turnovers per game (ranking 156th).
Sebastian Rancik leads Florida State in scoring, averaging 21.5 ppg on 57.1% shooting from the field. Kam Taylor follows with 15 ppg on 53.8% shooting from the field. Shon Abaev follows with 13 ppg on 34.6% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 6 assists per game. Marcis Ponder leads the team in rebounds with 10.5 per game.
Florida Gators Preview
The Florida Gators have a 2-0 overall record and a 1-0 home record and a 1-0 neutral record. They are coming off a 88-57 home win against Jacksonville and will face Merrimack and Notre Dame next.
Offensively, they are averaging 82.5 points per game (ranking 159th in the nation), while allowing 62 points per game defensively (ranking 73rd in the nation) and have a 145.9 offensive rating and a 76.8 defensive rating. The Gators are shooting 46% from the field (ranking 181st) and 43.1% from beyond the arc (ranking 28th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 34.2% from the field (ranking 42nd) and 26.3% from the 3-point range (ranking 81st). They are shooting with a 62.9% from the free-throw line (ranking 291st). They are grabbing 48 rebounds per game (ranking 29th) and allow 32 rebounds per game off their opponents (108th), while averaging 17.5 assists per game (ranking 101st) and allowing their opponents to dish 6 assists per game (3rd). They average 5 blocks per game (ranking 74th) and 5.5 steals per game (ranking 286th), while committing 13 turnovers per game (ranking 194th) and forcing their opponents into 10 turnovers per game (ranking 313th).
Thomas Haugh leads Florida in scoring, averaging 16.5 ppg on 52.4% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 8.5 rebounds per game and a team-high 4 assists per game. Rueben Chinyelu follows with 13.5 ppg on 66.7% shooting from the field. Alex Condon follows with 11.5 ppg on 53.8% shooting from the field.
Florida Gators @ Florida State Seminoles Betting Trends: November 10, 2026
Why the Florida State Seminoles will win
- Florida State has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents at Donald L. Tucker Civic Center.
- Florida has lost the first half in four of its last five road games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 18 November night games as an AP-ranked team.
- Florida State has lost each of its last 11 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida State has lost the first half in nine of its last 12 night games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida State’s last 18 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 165 or fewer points.
- Fourteen of Florida’s last 15 night games against the Atlantic Coast Conference have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (36.5).
- Florida State ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (65.0%).
- Florida ranks T23rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (48.0).
- Florida ranks T25th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.0).
Nick Lagouretos's Pick: Florida State +9.5
