Feb 26, 2026; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; New York Islanders defenseman Matthew Schaefer (48) defends the puck against Montreal Canadiens right wing Cole Caufield (13) during overtime at Bell Centre. Mandatory Credit: David Kirouac-Imagn Images
David Kirouac-Imagn Images

Canadiens vs Sharks Prediction 3/3/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Montreal Canadiens San Jose Sharks
Team Records 33-17-9 29-25-4
Spread -1.5 180 +1.5 -218
Moneyline -135 +114
Total Over 6.5 (-115) Under 6.5 (-105)
Where SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose, CA
When Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Time 10:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Canadiens vs Sharks prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 3rd at the SAP Center in San Jose, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 33-17-9 this season after they defeated Washington by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Montreal had their lead cut to 4-2 in the third period, but they scored the last two goals to pull away with the win. The Canadiens were out shot by a total of 29-25, won 50.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Montreal got goals from Caufield (2), Dach, Evans, Suzuki, and Matheson, while Dobes stopped 27 out of 29 shots, which was a .931 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, the Canadiens lost to the Islanders by a score of 4-3, but did beat the Jets by a score of 5-1 before that. The Canadiens have won five of their last seven games and they are currently fourth in the Atlantic standings with 75 points. Montreal has scored 3.49 goals per game and they have allowed 3.20 goals against per game, while also going 24.3% on the power play and 77.1% on the penalty kill this season. Nick Suzuki has led Montreal with 19 goals and 49 assists, while Cole Caufield has added 35 goals and 25 assists. The projected starting goalie for Montreal is Jakub Dobes, who is 19-5-4 with a 2.92 goals against average and an .893 save percentage this season. 

San Jose Sharks Betting Preview

The San Jose Sharks are 29-25-4 this year after they defeated Winnipeg in overtime by a score of 2-1 in their last game. San Jose tied the game at one early in the third period and they were able to get the win 1:40 into overtime. The Sharks out shot Winnipeg by a total of 33-28, won 49.0% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. San Jose got goals from Misa and Smith, while Nedeljkovic stopped 27 out of 28 shots, which was a .964 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, the Sharks defeated the Oilers by a score of 5-4, but lost to the Flames by a score of 4-1 before that. The Sharks have lost five of their last seven games and they are currently fifth in the Pacific standings with 62 points. San Jose has scored 3.05 goals per game and they have allowed 3.47 goals against per game, while also going 19.6% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill this season. Macklin Celebrini has led San Jose with 29 goals and 54 assists, while Will Smith has added 18 goals and 23 assists. The projected starting goalie for San Jose is Yaroslav Askarov, who is 18-16-2 with a 3.53 goals against average and an .888 save percentage this year. 

Why the San Jose Sharks will win

  • The Sharks have won five of their last six games as a home underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Canadiens have lost each of their last three games as an away favorite when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Canadiens have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as road favorites following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in 12 of the Canadiens’ last 13 games.
  • The Canadiens have lost the third period in five of their last six road games against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

  • The Canadiens have won seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
  • The Sharks have lost 10 of their last 12 night games at SAP Center at San Jose after coming off overtime.
  • The Canadiens have covered the puck line in 15 of their last 17 road games.
  • The Sharks have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games at SAP Center at San Jose following a home win.
  • The Canadiens have won the third period in each of their last four road games against the Sharks.

Total Goals Facts

  • Eight of the Sharks’ last nine games against Atlantic Division opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Each of the Canadiens’ last four games as favorites following a home win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Sharks’ last seven games following an overtime win.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in 24 of the Canadiens’ last 25 games against opponents on a winning streak.

San Jose Sharks Player Prop Facts

  • Pavol Regenda has scored a goal in four of his five previous appearances in night games at SAP Center at San Jose.
  • William Eklund has recorded an assist in four of the Sharks’ last five games as underdogs against the Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Newhook has scored a goal in four of his last five appearances with the Canadiens as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.
  • Nick Suzuki has recorded at least one assist in nine of the Canadiens’ last 10 games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents.

Canadiens vs Sharks Prediction 

San Jose comes into this matchup on a two game winning streak and they are trying to turn things around after a five game losing streak. The Sharks are 16-10-3 at home this year, while the Canadiens are 16-6-7 on the road. Montreal has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, which includes winning two out of three on the road. The Canadiens play a high scoring brand of hockey and they have gone over 6.5 goals in three of their last four games. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 6.5

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