Canadiens vs Senators Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Canadiens vs Senators prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, March 11th at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Montreal Canadiens Betting Preview

The Montreal Canadiens are 35-18-10 this year after they defeated the Maple Leafs by a score of 3-1 in their last game. Montreal had their lead cut to 2-1 in the second period, but they scored an empty net goal in the third to seal the win. The Canadiens out shot Toronto by a total of 33-18, won 49.1% of the face-offs, and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Montreal got goals from Danault, Evans, and Kapanen, while Dobes stopped 17 out of 18 shots, which was a .944 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Montreal defeated the Kings by a score of 4-3, but lost to the Ducks by a score of 6-5 before that. The Canadiens have won three of their last five games and they are currently third in the Atlantic standings with 80 points. Montreal has scored 3.55 goals per game and they have allowed 3.29 goals against per game, while also going 25.1% on the power play and 76.6% on the penalty kill this season. Nick Suzuki has led Montreal with 21 goals and 53 assists, while Lane Hutson has added 11 goals and 53 assists. The projected starting goalie for Montreal is Sam Montembeault, who is 10-8-4 with a 3.43 goals against average and an .872 save percentage this year. 

Ottawa Senators Betting Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 32-22-9 this season after they defeated the Canucks by a score of 2-0 in their last game. Ottawa scored once in the second period and once in the third for the shutout win. The Senators out shot Vancouver by a total of 24-16, won 43.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa got goals from Greig and Tkachuk, while Reimer stopped all 16 shots in the shutout victory. 

Prior to that game, Ottawa defeated the Kraken by a score of 7-4 and the Flames by a score of 4-1. The Senators have won three games in a row and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 73 points. Ottawa has scored 3.35 goals per game and they have allowed 3.14 goals against per game, while also going 23.0% on the power play and 73.5% on the penalty kill this season. Tim Stutzle has led Ottawa with 30 goals and 38 assists, while Drake Batherson has added 23 goals and 32 assists. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Linus Ullmark, who is 19-8-7 with a 2.84 goals against average and an .884 save percentage this season. 

Why the Ottawa Senators will win

• The Canadiens have lost five of their last six night games at Canadian Tire Centre against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have won four of their last five games.
• The Senators have covered the puck line in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Canadiens have lost the second period in four of their last five night games.

Why the Montreal Canadiens will win

• The Senators have lost six of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Canadiens have won four of their last five games as an underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Canadiens have covered the puck line in each of their last 16 games as road underdogs.
• The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Senators have lost the second period in four of their last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents at Canadian Tire Centre when leading after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the last six games between the Canadiens and Senators have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Each of the Canadiens’ last five night games at Canadian Tire Centre have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Three of the last four night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Senators’ last nine games as favorites against the Canadiens.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Canadiens’ last 10 road games.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

• Drake Batherson has scored a goal in four of the Senators’ last five games against the Canadiens.
• Jake Sanderson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Senators’ last seven games against Eastern Conference opponents at Canadian Tire Centre.

Montreal Canadiens Player Prop Facts

• Cole Caufield has scored at least one goal in seven of the Canadiens’ last eight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Lane Hutson has recorded at least one assist in each of the Canadiens’ last seven games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Canadiens vs Senators Prediction 

Ottawa comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last five games. The Senators are 14-10-5 at home this year, while the Canadiens are 17-7-8 on the road. Montreal has won two in a row, but they have allowed six goals or more in two of their last four. Both offenses have been pretty strong this year, as Montreal has gone over 6.5 goals in four of their last five, while Ottawa has gone over 6.5 goals in three of their last five. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 6.5