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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 3/17/25 NHL Picks
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Toronto Maple Leafs (39-24-3) vs Calgary Flames (30-24-11)
March 17, 2025 at 07:30 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -218 / Calgary Flames +180 — Over/Under: 5.5
In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Maple Leafs prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 17 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
Calgary Flames Betting Preview
The Calgary Flames (30-24-11, 32-33 ATS) have been in poor form recently as they lost six of the previous eight games. The Flames returned home from a six-game road trip on which they suffered four defeats and managed to beat the Capitals and Flyers. Calgary opened its three-game homestay with a narrow 1-0 victory over the Canadiens but then lost the next two games to the Canucks and Avalanche. The Flames are 5th in the Pacific Division Standings with 71 points, 15 behind the leaders Golden Knights.
The Flames average 2.55 goals per game this year (32nd), while they allow 2.89 GPG (14th). Jonathan Huberdeau leads the team with 49 points (25 G and 24 A). Nazem Kadri contributes 48 points (23 G and 25 A), while MacKenzie Weegar has 39 points (7 G and 32 A).
Dustin Wolf (22-13-5) will likely take his place in the cage for the Flames on Monday against the Maple Leafs. The 23-year-old is allowing 2.54 goals per game this year with a .914 SV% and three shutouts.
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview
The Toronto Maple Leafs (39-24-3, 32-34 ATS) are going through their worst period of the season as they suffered five losses in the previous six games. The lone win during this span came against the Hockey Club. The Maple Leafs opened their four-game home stand with losses to Panthers and Senators. Toronto is 3rd in the Atlantic Division Standings with 81 points, the same as the Lightning and four behind the Panthers.
The Maple Leafs score 3.17 goals per game on average (11th), while they concede 2.97 GPG (18th). This season, Mitch Marner leads the team with 80 points (21 G and 59 A). William Nylander has 68 points (37 G and 31 A), while Auston Matthews chips in with 57 points (24 G and 33 A).
Anthony Stolarz (13-8-3) is expected to start for the Maple Leafs at the goal on Monday against the Flames. The 31-year-old is allowing 2.39 goals per game this year with a .918 SV% and one shutout.
Total Goals Facts
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- Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four night games against Pacific Division opponents at Scotiabank Arena has gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Six of the Flames’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last seven road games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.
- The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only six teams to win 6+ games when trailing after Period 2 this season.
- The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.68).
- The Calgary Flames rank 4th in the league in penalty minutes this season (661).
Flames vs Maple Leafs Prediction
The Maple Leafs won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last five. This season, the Leafs were better 6-3 in Calgary. I am not impressed with the way Toronto is playing at the moment; the Maple Leafs are allowing a bunch of goals, and even though they face the lowes-scoring team in the NHL, I think the hosts will surrender at least two or three goals. Five of the last six H2H duels went Over, and I am going with a minimum of six goals here.
