Oct 25, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; The Toronto Blue Jays flag is waved by the Toronto Maple Leafs against the Buffalo Sabres at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gerry Angus-Imagn Images
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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 10/28/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

Calgary (2-7-1) vs Toronto (4-4-1)

October 28, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto -1.5 — Over/Under: +5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Calgary Flames and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action at Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

Calgary Flames Betting Preview


The Calgary Flames lost to the Jets, beat the Rangers and they play the Senators next. The Flames have lost 8 of their last 9 games.

The Calgary Flames are averaging 2 goals per game and are scoring 12.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. Blake Coleman leads Calgary with 5 goals, Nazem Kadri has 5 assists, and Rasmus Andersson has 26 shots on goal. Defensively, the Calgary Flames are allowing 3.5 goals per game and are killing 75 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Dustin Wolf has allowed 29 goals on 254 shots faced, and Devin Cooley has given up 3 goals on 40 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview


The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Devils, split with the Sabres, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Maple Leafs have lost 5 of their last 8 games.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.44 goals per game and are scoring 13 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads Toronto with 5 goals, William Nylander has 11 assists, and John Tavares has 22 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.67 goals per game and are killing 80 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 23 goals on 200 shots faced, while Cayden Primeau has given up 7 goals on 56 shots.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Flames have lost eight of their last nine games.
  • The Maple Leafs have won seven of their last eight games against the Flames.
  • The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in four of their last five games following an overtime win.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the second period in each of their last four night games against the Flames when trailing after the first period.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

  • The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last three games as home favorites after coming off overtime.
  • The Flames have won each of their last three games as road underdogs following a home win.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
  • The Flames have covered the puck line in each of their last six road games following a home win.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in four of their last five night games following a win.
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Total Goals Facts

  • Each of the Flames’ last six night games following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • Eight of the Maple Leafs’ last nine night games have gone OVER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five home games against the Flames.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flames’ last three road games against the Maple Leafs.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • John Tavares has scored at least one goal in four of the Maple Leafs’ last five games at Scotiabank Arena.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of his last nine appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against the Flames.
  • William Nylander has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances with the Maple Leafs as favorites against the Flames.
  • John Tavares ranks T2nd in the league for multi-point games (5) this season.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

  • Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine appearances against the Maple Leafs.
  • Jonathan Huberdeau has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.
  • Morgan Frost ranks T3rd in the league for shootout goals (1) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank 32nd in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.67).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T2nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (1.22).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 25th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.50).
  • The Calgary Flames rank 1st in the league in penalty minutes this season (125).

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction


The Flames won their first game since the Great Depression, but it’s not enough to move the needle. The Flames have still lost 8 of their last 9 games, can’t score the puck, and their defense is below average across the board. The Maple Leafs have played their best hockey by far at home, and they’ve won 6 straight games against the Flames, often taking them behind the wood shed. In the last two games, the Maple Leafs have outscored the Flames 12-5. Yeah… Give me the Maple Leafs and the PL for max betting value.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5

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