Calgary Flames vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction 3/16/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Flames vs Red Wings Prediction for this NHL game on Monday, March 16th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Detroit Red Wings Preview

The Red Wings have 80 points this season with a 36-23-8 record, and are 34-33 ATS and 30-34 in over/under. They have a 18-11-3 home record and a 18-12-5 road record and are sitting 4th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road overtime loss to the Stars, and their previous three games were a 4-1 road loss to the Lightning, a 4-3 road loss to the Panthers, and a 3-0 road win over the Devils.

Offensively, the Red Wings are averaging 2.88 goals per game and are scoring 21.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.96 goals per game and are killing 78.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

Alex DeBrincat leads the Red Wings with 66 points and 33 goals, while Lucas Raymond leads the team in assists with 45. John Gibson is the starting goalie for the Red Wings, and he has a 24-15-3 record, with 2.58 GAA and .905 SV%. Cam Talbot is the backup goalie and he has a 12-8-5 record, with 3.03 GAA and .891 SV%.

Calgary Flames Preview

The Flames have 59 points this season with a 26-33-7 record, and are 34-32 ATS and 31-32 in over/under. They have a 16-12-4 home record and a 10-21-3 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road loss to the Islanders, and their previous three games were a 5-4 road win over the Devils, a 4-0 road loss to the Rangers, and a 7-3 road loss to the Capitals.

Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.47 goals per game and are scoring 15.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.09 goals per game and are killing 80.7% of their opponent’s power plays.

Mikael Backlund leads the Flames with 38 points and 15 goals, adding a team-high 23 assists. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 19-24-3 record, with 3.00 GAA and .898 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 7-9-4 record, with 2.55 GAA and .914 SV%.

Calgary Flames @ Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends: March 16, 2026

Why the Detroit Red Wings will win

• The Red Wings have won each of their last seven games against the Flames.
• The Flames have lost each of their last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have covered the puck line in each of their last 11 Monday games.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Red Wings have won the second period in each of their last six games as favorites when trailing after the first period.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The Red Wings have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
• The underdogs have won four of the Red Wings’ last five games at Little Caesars Arena.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the last seven games between the Flames and Red Wings.
• The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six home games.
• The Red Wings have lost the third period in each of their last six games as favorites against Western Conference opponents when trailing after the second period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Red Wings’ last four home games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Five of the Flames’ last six road games following a road loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Seven of the last eight Monday games at Little Caesars Arena have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 2.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in three of the Flames’ last four games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Flames and Red Wings.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

• Alex DeBrincat has scored at least one goal in each of the Red Wings’ last seven night games at Little Caesars Arena.
• Alex DeBrincat has recorded an assist in seven of his last eight appearances against the Flames.
• Alex DeBrincat has recorded three blocks against the Flames this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• Joel Farabee has scored at least one goal in four of the Flames’ last five road games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Olli Maatta has recorded an assist in four of the Flames’ last five games.
• Victor Olofsson has recorded three hits against the Red Wings this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Detroit Red Wings have recorded the largest comeback win this season – trailed by four goals vs Blues on October, 25.
• The Detroit Red Wings rank 32nd in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.60).
• The Calgary Flames rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.47).
• The Calgary Flames rank 31st in the league in power play percentage this season (15.79%).

Flames vs Red Wings Prediction

The Red Wings won their previous meeting against the Flames this season by 4-3 on the road and have won their last seven head-to-head meetings.

In this Flames vs Red Wings Prediction, the Red Wings are coming as -185 home favorites. The Red Wings have been the better team this season and the Flames have been terrible on the road, but the Red Wings have been struggling lately with a 1-5 record in their last 6 games. The Flames have not been doing much better, as they are 2-7 in their last 9 games and will be playing their fifth straight game on the road. Their defense has been on a free fall lately, having allowed 4+ goals in six of their last seven games, so I don’t trust them on the road. Take the Red Wings on the moneyline at home for a nice bounce-back win.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Detroit Red Wings ML