Calgary Flames vs Dallas Stars Prediction 3/6/25 NHL Picks

The Calgary Flames and the Dallas Stars meet Thursday in NHL action from the American Airlines Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars prediction.

Matchup History

The Dallas Stars have won the lone meeting between these two teams this season back on December 8th, 2024, by a final score of 6-2 at home. The win helped Dallas snap a two-game losing streak to Calgary going back to last year.

Calgary Flames Recap

The Calgary Flames come into this game looking to build on their 6-3 win over the Philadelphia Flyers last time out to sit at 29-23-9 on the year. After this game, Calgary will head home for a game with the Montreal Canadiens.

Flames Looking To Finish Road Trip On High Note

Jonathan Huberdeau leads the Flames in scoring with 43 points including a team-high 22 goals and 21 assists while Nazem Kadri has 43 points split between 20 goals and 23 assists. Matt Coronato has 31 points with 15 goals and 16 assists while Blake Coleman added 29 points with 12 goals and 17 assists. MacKenzie Weegar has 32 points with a team-high 26 assists while Connor Zary has 22 points with 10 goals and 12 assists. In goal for Calgary, Dustin Wolf is 20-12-3 with a 2.60 GAA and a .913 save percentage while Dan Vladar is 8-10-5 with a 2.98 GAA and an .891 save percentage on the year.

Why the Calgary Flames will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Flames’ last five games at American Airlines Center.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in eight of the last nine games between the Flames and Stars.
• The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
• The Stars have lost the second period in four of their last five games as favorites against Pacific Division opponents at American Airlines Center when trailing after the first period.

Calgary Flames Player Prop Facts

• MacKenzie Weegar has recorded an assist in each of the Flames’ last four games against Western Conference opponents.
• Nazem Kadri has recorded at least one point in each of the Flames’ last six games as underdogs against the Stars.
• Jonathan Huberdeau has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Flames this season (2).

Dallas Stars Recap

The Dallas Stars come into this game looking to add on to their 4-3 win over New Jersey last time out to improve to 40-19-2 on the year. After this game, Dallas will head out on the road, starting a road trip with a date with the Edmonton Oilers.

Stars Win Three Straight & Six Of Last Seven

Matt Duchene leads the Stars with 62 points including 25 goals along with 37 assists. Jason Robertson has 60 points with 25 goals and 35 assists while Roope Hintz has 47 points with 24 goals and Jamie Benn has 38 points with 15 goals and 23 assists. Wyatt Johnston also has 55 points with 21 goals and 34 assists as well on the year. Evgenii Dadonov added 33 points split between 16 goals and 17 assists and Thomas Harley has 35 points with 10 goals and 25 assists as well this year. In goal for Dallas, Jake Oettinger is 29-13-2 with a 2.44 GAA and a .911 save percentage while Casey DeSmith is 10-6 with a 2.47 GAA and a .913 save percentage this season.

Why the Dallas Stars will win

• The Flames have lost each of their last eight road games following a road win.
• The Stars have won each of their last six games at American Airlines Center.
• The Stars have covered the puck line in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents.
• The Flames have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

• Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in each of the Stars’ last five home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Wyatt Johnston has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last 13 home games.
• Miro Heiskanen has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Stars’ last game.
• Thomas Harley ranks 1st in the Central Division for Plus/Minus (+28) this season.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Stars’ last eight games has gone OVER the total goals line.
• Nine of the Flames’ last 10 night games against opponents on a winning streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Calgary Flames vs. Dallas Stars Prediction

I’m on the Stars here. The Dallas Stars continue to play their best hockey at home and while the Calgary Flames got on the board in their last matchup, it doesn’t change the fact that Calgary has been far less effective at home this season and that the Flames will likely struggle to break through here. The Stars are a machine at home and I don’t feel like stepping in front of them here. Give me Dallas in this one.