Buffalo Sabres vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 3/17/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Sabres vs Golden Knights Prediction for this NHL game on Tuesday, March 17th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Vegas Golden Knights Preview

The Golden Knights have 76 points this season with a 31-22-14 record, and are 27-40 ATS and 34-29 in over/under. They have a 16-10-7 home record and a 15-12-7 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 4-0 home win over the Blackhawks, and their previous three games were a 6-2 home win over the Penguins, a 2-1 road loss to the Stars, and a 4-2 home loss to the Oilers.

Offensively, the Golden Knights are averaging 3.27 goals per game and are scoring 25.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.03 goals per game and are killing 82.3% of their opponent’s power plays.

Jack Eichel leads the Golden Knights with 74 points and 50 assists, while Pavel Dorofeyev leads the team in goals with 34. Akira Schmid is the starting goalie for the Golden Knights, and he has a 16-9-6 record, with 2.61 GAA and .893 SV%. Adin Hill is the backup goalie and he has a 8-6-3 record, with 3.05 GAA and .871 SV%.

Buffalo Sabres Preview

The Sabres have 88 points this season with a 41-20-6 record, and are 37-30 ATS and 31-33 in over/under. They have a 22-9-3 home record and a 19-11-3 road record and are sitting 1st in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home shootout win over the Maple Leafs, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home loss to the Capitals, a 6-3 home win over the Sharks, and a 8-7 home win over the Lightning.

Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.45 goals per game and are scoring 20.7% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.99 goals per game and are killing 82.9% of their opponent’s power plays.

Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 70 points and 34 goals, while Rasmus Dahlin leads the team in assists with 47. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 19-8-3 record, with 2.62 GAA and .913 SV%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the backup goalie and he has a 15-8-2 record, with 2.71 GAA and .905 SV%.

Buffalo Sabres @ Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends: March 17, 2026

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

• The home team has won each of the last four games between the Sabres and Golden Knights.
• The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the Golden Knights’ last six games at T-Mobile Arena.
• The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four road games following an overtime win.
• The Golden Knights have won the third period in each of their last 10 night games at T-Mobile Arena when trailing after the second period.

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

• The Sabres have won each of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Golden Knights have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have covered the puck line in each of their last 15 games as underdogs.
• The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Sabres have won the first period in each of their last six games against Pacific Division opponents.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Sabres’ last six games following an overtime win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Golden Knights’ last four home games following a win have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Golden Knights’ last 11 games as favorites against the Sabres.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents.

Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Facts

• Jack Eichel has scored at least one goal in each of his last four appearances with the Golden Knights as favorites against the Sabres.
• Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in eight of his last nine home appearances against the Sabres.
• Pavel Dorofeyev has recorded at least three shots in each of his last five appearances – equal-longest active streak in the league.

Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

• Ryan McLeod has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Sabres’ last eight games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Tage Thompson has scored a goal in seven of the Sabres’ last eight road games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Peyton Krebs has recorded a faceoff win percentage of 83.3% against the Golden Knights this season – most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (25.53%).
• The Vegas Golden Knights rank 6th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.32%).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank 4th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (82.87%).
• The Buffalo Sabres rank T6th in the league for goals per game this season (3.45).

Sabres vs Golden Knights Prediction

The Sabres won their previous meeting against the Golden Knights this season by 3-2 at home and are 5-1 in their last 6 head-to-head matches.

In this Sabres vs Golden Knights Prediction, the Golden Knights are coming as -123 home favorites. The Sabres have been the better team this season and have been red-hot lately with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games, while the Knights have back-to-back wins following a terrible 1-6 stretch. I see no value on either side, as the Knights might have woken up, but both teams are 13-5-1 to the under in their last 19 games combined and their previous meeting this season had five total goals. Take the under 6.5 goals in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Under 6.5