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Buffalo Sabres vs St. Louis Blues Prediction 12/29/2025 Today’s NHL Picks
Pick details
| MATCHUP | Buffalo Sabres | St. Louis Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 19-14-4 | 15-16-8 |
| Spread | -1.5 205 | +1.5 -250 |
| Moneyline | -115 | -105 |
| Total | Over 5.5 (-130) | Under 5.5 (110) |
| Where | Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO | |
| When | Monday, December 29, 2025 | |
| Time | 08:00 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
St. Louis Blues Preview
The Blues have 38 points this season with a 15-16-8 record, and are 18-21 ATS and 18-21 in over/under. They have an 8-8-5 home record and a 7-8-3 road record and are sitting 5th in the Central Division. They are coming off a 3-2 home win over the Predators, and their previous three games were a 1-4 road loss against the Lightning, a 6-2 road win against the Panthers, and a 2-1 home overtime loss against the Rangers.
Offensively, the Blues are averaging 2.51 goals per game and are scoring 18.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.36 goals per game and are killing 76.8% of their opponent’s power plays.
Robert Thomas leads the Blues with 29 points and 9 goals, while Justin Faulk also leads the team in assists with 20. Joel Hofer is the starting goalie for the Blues, and he has an 8-7-2 record, with 2.86 GAA and .900 SV%. Jordan Binnington is the backup goalie and he has a 7-9-6 record, with 3.44 GAA and .870 SV%.
Buffalo Sabres Preview
The Sabres have 42 points this season with a 19-14-4 record, and are 18-19 ATS and 16-19 in over/under. They have a 12-5-2 home record and a 7-9-2 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Bruins, and their previous three games were a 3-2 road overtime win against the Senators, a 3-1 road win against the Devils, and a 3-2 home shootout win against the Islanders.
Offensively, the Sabres are averaging 3.05 goals per game and are scoring 19.6% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.19 goals per game and are killing 84.6% of their opponent’s power plays.
Tage Thompson leads the Sabres with 34 points and 18 goals, while Rasmus Dahlin leads the team in assists with 24. Alex Lyon is the starting goalie for the Sabres, and he has a 9-6-3 record, with 2.87 GAA and .907 SV%. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is the backup goalie and he has a 6-5-1 record, with 2.58 GAA and .897 SV%.
Buffalo Sabres @ St. Louis Blues Betting Trends: December 29, 2025
Why the St. Louis Blues will win
- The Blues have won five of their last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- The Sabres have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Blues have covered the puck line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Sabres have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games as road favorites following a home win.
- The Sabres have lost the second period in each of their last four road games against Central Division opponents when tied after the first period.
Why the Buffalo Sabres will win
- The Sabres have won each of their last eight games.
- The Blues have lost 10 of their last 11 night games following a home win.
- The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last four games between the Sabres and Blues.
- The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last three home games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Sabres have won the third period in each of their last five games as favorites against Central Division opponents when leading after the second period.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Sabres’ last seven games against the Blues following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Each of the Blues’ last six games against the Sabres following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last 12 games.
- The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last eight home games against opponents on a winning streak.
St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts
- Brayden Schenn has scored at least one goal in each of the Blues’ last four home games against the Sabres.
- Robert Thomas has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight appearances with the Blues as home underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Mathieu Joseph has recorded two assists against the Sabres this season – most against any opponent.
Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts
- Ryan McLeod has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last five road games.
- Tage Thompson has scored a goal in five of the Sabres’ last six games as favorites.
- Jason Zucker has recorded 17 career assists against the Blues – most against any opponent (including playoffs).
Matchup/League Facts
- The St. Louis Blues rank 32nd in the league for goals per game this season (2.51).
- The St. Louis Blues rank 27th in the league for goals against per game this season (3.36).
- The Buffalo Sabres rank 3rd in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (84.62%).
- The Buffalo Sabres have recorded the equal-largest margin of victory in a home game this season (6-goals vs Blackhawks on November, 21).
Sabres vs Blues Prediction
In their previous meeting earlier this season, the Blues won 3-0 on the road but both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings. Over is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Sabres vs Blues Prediction, the Sabres are coming as -108 road favorites. The Sabres have been the better team this season, with more points and more overall wins than the Blues, but have been significantly weaker on the road. They are one of the hottest teams in hockey lately with 8 consecutive wins, five of them on the road and are facing a Blues team that is 4-5 in their last 9 games. The Sabres have both a better offense and defense than the Blues throughout the season and also a better power play and penalty kill, so I expect them to get the job done today on the road. Take the Sabres on the moneyline.
