Dec 14, 2025; Seattle, Washington, USA; Buffalo Sabres right wing Alex Tuch (89) looks on during the second period against the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Blake Dahlin-Imagn Images
Blake Dahlin-Imagn Images

Bruins vs Sabres Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

MATCHUP Boston Bruins Buffalo Sabres
Team Records 20-17-1 18-14-4
Spread +1.5 -218 -1.5 180
Moneyline +120 -142
Total Over 6.5 (105) Under 6.5 (-125)
Where KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
When Saturday, December 27, 2025
Time 07:00 PM EST
TV ESPN+

In this article we will formulate a Bruins vs Sabres prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, December 27th at the KeyBank Center in Buffalo, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 20-17-1 this season after they lost to Montreal by a score of 6-2 in their last game. Boston led 2-1 after the first period, but they allowed one goal in the second and four in the third for the loss. The Bruins were out shot by a total of 29-28, won 52.6% of the face-offs, and went 1-5 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Khusnutdinov and Steeves, while Swayman stopped 23 out of 29 shots, which was a .793 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Boston lost to the Senators by a score of 6-2 and the Canucks by a score of 5-4. The Bruins have lost four games in a row and they are currently sixth in the Atlantic standings with 41 points. Boston has scored 3.16 goals per game and they have allowed 3.29 goals against per game, while also going 25.4% on the power play and 79.2% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with 14 goals and 26 assists, while Morgan Geekie has added 25 goals and 14 assists. The projected starting goalie for Boston is Jeremy Swayman, who is 14-10-1 with a 2.91 goals against average and a .901 save percentage this season. 

Buffalo Sabres Betting Preview

The Buffalo Sabres are 18-14-4 this year after they defeated Ottawa in overtime by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Buffalo led 1-0 and 2-1, but they couldn’t hold either lead, before getting the win early in overtime. The Sabres were out shot by a total of 26-25, won 43.8% of the face-offs, and went 0-1 on the power play in the game. Buffalo got goals from Ostlund and Byram (2), while Lyon stopped 24 out of 26 shots, which was a .923 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Buffalo defeated the Devils by a score of 3-1 and the Islanders by a score of 3-2. The Sabres have won seven games in a row and they are second to last in the Atlantic standings with 40 points. Buffalo has scored 3.03 goals per game and they have allowed 3.25 goals against per game, while also going 20.2% on the power play and 84.5% on the penalty kill this season. Tage Thompson has led Buffalo with 18 goals and 14 assists, while Alex Tuch has added 11 goals and 19 assists. The projected starting goalie for Buffalo is Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, who is 5-5-1 with a 2.73 goals against average and an .892 save percentage this year. 

Why the Buffalo Sabres will win

  • The Sabres have won each of their last nine night games following a road win.
  • The Bruins have lost each of their last four games.
  • The favorites have covered the puck line in each of the last eight games between the Bruins and Sabres at KeyBank Center.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games.
  • The Bruins have lost the third period in each of their last four night games at KeyBank Center.

    Total Goals Facts

    • Eleven of the Sabres’ last 12 games as home favorites against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • Eight of the Bruins’ last nine games against opponents on a winning streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • Four of the last five night games between two teams from the Atlantic Division have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Sabres’ last nine games following a road win.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last eight games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.

    Buffalo Sabres Player Prop Facts

    • Owen Power has recorded an assist in each of the Sabres’ last four games against the Bruins at KeyBank Center.
    • Alex Tuch has scored a goal in each of the Sabres’ last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
    • Beck Malenstyn has recorded 10 hits against the Bruins this season – equal-most against any opponent.

    Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

    • Morgan Geekie has scored a goal in each of the Bruins’ last three games as underdogs against the Sabres.
    • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last four road games against the Sabres.
    • Morgan Geekie ranks 2nd in the league for Goals (25) this season.

    Matchup/League Facts

    • The Buffalo Sabres have recorded the equal-largest margin of victory in a home game this season (6-goals vs Blackhawks on November, 21).
    • The Buffalo Sabres rank T2nd in the league for power play goals against this season (16).
    • The Boston Bruins have recorded the equal-most wins when tied or trailing after Period 1 this season (14).
    • The Boston Bruins rank 31st in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.08).

    Bruins vs Sabres Prediction 

    Buffalo comes into this matchup with a very low point total on the season, but they have won seven games in a row and have plenty of momentum. The Sabres are 11-5-2 at home this year, while the Bruins are 8-9-0 on the road. Boston has lost four games in a row and they have allowed at least five goals in each of their last three. The Bruins have scored two goals or fewer in three of their last four, so they are struggling on both ends of the ice. Buffalo has been solid at home and they are playing very well right now, so I will take them here.

    David Racey's Pick: Sabres ML

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