Boston Bruins vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction 3/1/25 NHL Picks

The Boston Bruins and the Pittsburgh Penguins meet Saturday in NHL action from the PPG Paints Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Bruins vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction.

Matchup History

The Pittsburgh Penguins won the lone meeting between these two teams so far this season by a final score of 2-1 back on November 29th, 2024 in Boston. Despite the win, the Bruins have still won 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.

Boston Bruins Recap

The Boston Bruins come into this game looking to shake off a 2-1 loss at the hands of the New York Islanders last time out to slip to 27-25-8 on the year. After this game, Boston will head on the road again for a game against the Minnesota Wild.

Bruins Lose Five In A Row

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins in scoring with 72 points including 30 goals and 42 assists while Brad Marchand has 47 points with 21 goals and 26 assists. Elias Lindholm has 31 points with 20 assists while Pavel Zacha has 34 points and Morgan Geekie has 31 points with 19 goals and 12 assists. Mason Lohrei also has 27 points with 24 assists. Jeremy Swayman has seen the bulk of the action in goal for Boston going 18-18-6 with a 3.02 GAA and an .897 save percentage while Joonas Korpisalo is 9-6-2 with a 2.86 GAA and an .892 save percentage.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Penguins have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Bruins have won each of their last eight Saturday games against the Penguins.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last six day games.
• The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites following a home win.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• David Pastrnak has scored at least one goal in each of the Bruins’ last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Morgan Geekie has recorded at least one point in each of the Bruins’ last 11 Saturday games.
• David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last six day games.
• Pavel Zacha has the most Shorthanded Goals for the Bruins this season (2).

Pittsburgh Penguins Recap

The Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game looking to add on to their 5-4 win over the Philadelphia Flyers last time out to sit at 24-28-9 on the year. After this game, Pittsburgh will welcome the Toronto Maple Leafs to town.

Penguins Snap Four-Game Losing Streak

Evgeni Malkin has 35 points with 9 goals and 26 assists while Sidney Crosby has a team-high 59 points of his own with 18 goals and 41 assists. Rickard Rakell has 49 points with 25 goals and 24 assists and Erik Karlsson has 39 points with 6 goals and 33 assists. Bryan Rust also has 42 points with 20 goals and 22 assists. In goal for the Penguins, Joel Blomqvist has gone 3-8 with a 3.68 GAA and an .893 save percentage while Tristan Jarry has gone 8-8-4 with a 3.31 GAA and an .886 save percentage this season. Alex Nedeljkovic is also 12-10-5 with a 3.06 GAA and an .895 save percentage on the year.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

• The Bruins have lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
• The Penguins have won six of their last seven day games at PPG Paints Arena after coming off overtime.
• The Penguins have covered the puck line in each of their last four day games after coming off overtime.
• The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four day games at PPG Paints Arena.

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Facts

• Bryan Rust has scored at least one goal in four of his last five appearances with the Penguins as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one assist in each of the Penguins’ last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Sidney Crosby has recorded at least one point in each of the Penguins’ last nine games as home favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• Danton Heinen has recorded three blocks against the Bruins this season – equal-most against any opponent.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Penguins’ last seven day games against opponents on a losing streak have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Bruins’ last five day games following a loss have gone OVER the total goals line.

Boston Bruins vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction

I’m going to lean towards the Penguins here. I’m still concerned with Pittsburgh’s defense, as they’ve allowed 23 goals in 4 games since the four nations face off break, but at least they managed to pick up a nice win at home last time out over a Philadelphia team that had been in some solid form. Something looks off with the Bruins as this team just can’t seem to put it together and they’re simply in freefall right now. The Bruins have a 33% win percentage on the road this season and I just don’t see it improving in this spot either. Give me Pittsburgh at home in this one.