Boston Bruins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 2/28/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Bruins vs Flyers Prediction for this NHL game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers Preview

The Flyers have 63 points this season with a 26-21-11 record, and are 34-24 ATS and 31-26 in over/under. They have a 13-9-7 home record and a 13-12-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Metropolitan Division. They are coming off a 3-2 road overtime win over the Rangers, and their previous three games were a 3-1 road loss to the Capitals, a 2-1 home overtime loss to the Senators, and a 4-2 home win over the Capitals.

Offensively, the Flyers are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 16.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.14 goals per game and are killing 79.5% of their opponent’s power plays.

Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 55 points and 22 goals, adding a team-high 33 assists. Dan Vladar is the starting goalie for the Flyers, and he has a 17-9-6 record, with 2.46 GAA and .905 SV%. Samuel Ersson is the backup goalie and he has a 9-10-5 record, with 3.44 GAA and .859 SV%.

Boston Bruins Preview

The Bruins have 71 points this season with a 33-20-5 record, and are 39-19 ATS and 33-24 in over/under. They have a 22-8-1 home record and a 11-12-4 road record and are sitting 5th in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 4-2 home win over the Blue Jackets, and their previous three games were a 5-4 road shootout loss to the Panthers, a 6-5 home shootout loss to the Lightning, and a 6-3 home win over the Flyers.

Offensively, the Bruins are averaging 3.40 goals per game and are scoring 26.5% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.12 goals per game and are killing 76.4% of their opponent’s power plays.

David Pastrnak leads the Bruins with 72 points and 50 assists, while Morgan Geekie leads the team in goals with 33. Jeremy Swayman is the starting goalie for the Bruins, and he has a 22-12-3 record, with 2.92 GAA and .903 SV%. Joonas Korpisalo is the backup goalie and he has a 11-8-2 record, with 3.11 GAA and .896 SV%.

Boston Bruins @ Philadelphia Flyers Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win

• The home team has won each of the Bruins’ last nine games.
• The Bruins have lost each of their last five road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have covered the puck line in each of their last six day games at Xfinity Mobile Arena after coming off overtime.
• The home team has won the second period in each of the Bruins’ last four games.

Why the Boston Bruins will win

• The Bruins have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have lost each of their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• The Bruins have covered the puck line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against Metropolitan Division opponents.
• The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
• The Flyers have lost the second period in eight of their last nine games against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Bruins’ last 12 games as road underdogs following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
• Seven of the Flyers’ last eight day games against Eastern Conference opponents have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last six road games.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Flyers’ last seven Saturday at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts

• Travis Konecny has recorded at least one assist in each of his last seven Saturday appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Tyson Foerster has scored a goal in each of his last four home appearances against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Nikita Grebenkin has recorded five shots against the Bruins this season – most against any opponent.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

• Viktor Arvidsson has scored at least one goal in three of the Bruins’ last four games.
• Charlie McAvoy has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last seven games.
• Morgan Geekie ranks 1st amongst qualified players for shooting percentage (25.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Flyers rank T29th in the league in power play percentage this season (16.07%).
• The Philadelphia Flyers rank 4th in the league for shots against per game this season (25.7).
• The Boston Bruins rank 3rd in the league in power play percentage this season (26.47%).
• The Boston Bruins rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (76.42%).

Bruins vs Flyers Prediction

The Bruins won their previous meeting against the Flyers this season by 6-3 at home and are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.

In this Bruins vs Flyers Prediction, the Flyers are coming as -120 home favorites. The Bruins have both more points and more overall wins this season so the wrong team is favored in this spot. The Flyers are 2-6 in their last 8 overall games and a measly 1-7 in their last 8 at home, while the Bruins have five consecutive road wins and have been dominating the Flyers historically, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the Bruins on the moneyline for plus money.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: Boston Bruins ML