Boston Bruins vs Dallas Stars Prediction NHL Picks 11/14/24

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Dallas Stars (9-5) vs Boston Bruins (8-7-2)

November 14, 2024 at 08:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -170 / Boston Bruins +145 — Over/Under: 5.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Boston Bruins vs Dallas Stars prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, November 14th at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup. 

Boston Bruins Betting Preview

The Boston Bruins are 8-7-2 this year after they defeated St. Louis by a score of 3-2 in their last game. Boston trailed 2-0 after the second period, but they scored three goals in the final period for the win. The Bruins outshot St. Louis by a total of 30-22, won 54.2% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Boston got goals from Geekie, Pastrnak, and McAvoy, while Swayman stopped 20 out of 22 shots in the win. 

Prior to that game, the Bruins lost to Ottawa by a score of 3-2 but did beat Calgary by a score of 4-3 before that. Boston has scored 2.53 goals per game and they have allowed 3.18 goals against per game, while also going 11.8% on the power play and 73.6% on the penalty kill this season. David Pastrnak has led Boston with seven goals, nine assists, and 76 shots on goal, while Jeremy Swayman is 5-5-2 with a 3.03 goals-against average and a .896 save percentage this year. 

Dallas Stars Betting Preview

The Dallas Stars are 9-5-0 this season after they defeated Pittsburgh by a score of 7-1 in their last game. Dallas scored six goals in the first period and they were able to coast to the victory. The Stars outshot Pittsburgh by a total of 40-21, won 51% of the face-offs, and went 2-4 on the power play in the game. Dallas got goals from Duchene, Johnston, Marchment, Sequin, Stankoven, and Heiskanen (2), while Oettinger stopped 20 out of 21 shots in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Stars lost to Winnipeg by a score of 4-1 but did beat Chicago by a score of 3-1 before that. Dallas has scored 3.21 goals per game and they have allowed 2.36 goals against per game, while also going 19.1% on the power play and 84.1% on the penalty kill this season. Matt Duchene has led Dallas with eight goals, 10 assists, and 22 shots on goal, while Jake Oettinger is 7-3-0 with a 2.44 goals-against average and a .914 save percentage this year. 

Why the Stars will beat the Bruins

  • The Stars have won seven of their last eight games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Bruins have lost four of their last five games following a road win.
  • The Bruins have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games against Central Division opponents.
  • The Stars have covered the puck line in five of their last six games at American Airlines Center.
  • The favorites have won the first period in five of the Stars’ last six games.

Total Goals Facts

  • Five of the last six games between the Bruins and Stars at American Airlines Center have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • Five of the Bruins’ last six games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Stars’ last eight games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 1′ market has hit in each of the Bruins’ last four night games at American Airlines Center.

Dallas Stars Player Prop Facts

  • Jason Robertson has recorded at least one point in each of the Stars’ last seven games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Jason Robertson has scored at least one goal in five of the Stars’ last six games as home favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Matt Duchene has recorded at least one assist in each of the Stars’ last four games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Boston Bruins Player Prop Facts

  • Elias Lindholm has scored a goal in five of his last six road appearances against the Stars.
  • David Pastrnak has recorded at least one assist in each of the Bruins’ last three games.
  • Elias Lindholm has recorded at least one point in eight of his last nine appearances against the Stars at American Airlines Center.

Boston Bruins vs Dallas Stars Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after winning two of their last three games, but Dallas has been the better team to start the season and will be at home. The Stars are 6-1-0 at home this year, while the Bruins are 3-4-1 on the road. Boston has had issues scoring consistently, as they are scoring just 2.53 goals per game, while the Stars are one of the best defensive teams in the NHL. I can’t go against the Stars on home ice, so give me Dallas here. 

David Racey's Pick: Stars ML

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