Oct 31, 2025; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Capitals goaltender Logan Thompson (48) makes a save against on New York Islanders left wing Anders Lee (27) during the third period at Capital One Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
Geoff Burke-Imagn Images

Blues vs Capitals Prediction 11/5/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

Pick details

St. Louis (4-7-2) vs Washington (6-5-1)

November 5, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington -150 — Over/Under: +5.5

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In this article we will formulate a Blues vs Capitals prediction for this NHL game on Wednesday, November 5th at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.

St. Louis Blues Betting Preview

The St. Louis Blues are 4-7-2 this year after they defeated Edmonton by a score of 3-2 in their last game. St. Louis scored two goals late in the second period to tie the game and they scored with just 83 seconds left in regulation for the victory. The Blues were out shot by a total of 26-22, won 41.2% of the face-offs, and went 1-2 on the power play in the game. St. Louis got goals from Dvorsky, Suter, and Thomas, while Binnington stopped 24 out of 26 shots, which was a .923 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, St. Louis lost to the Blue Jackets by a score of 3-2 and the Canucks by a score of 4-3. The Blues have lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently last in the Central standings with 10 points. St. Louis has scored 2.85 goals per game and they have allowed 4.00 goals against per game, while also going 25.0% on the power play and 67.6% on the penalty kill this season. Jordan Kyrou has led St. Louis with four goals and four assists, while Robert Thomas has added two goals and six assists. The projected starting goalie for St. Louis is Jordan Binnington, who is 3-4-2 with a 3.08 goals against average and an .868 save percentage this year. 

Washington Capitals Betting Preview

The Washington Capitals are 6-5-1 this season after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 4-3 in a shootout in their last game. Washington blew a 2-0 lead in the first period and they needed a tying goal late in the second, before going scoreless in the third and losing in the shootout. The Capitals out shot Buffalo by a total of 34-24, won 51.9% of the face-offs, and went 0-4 on the power play in the game. Washington got goals from Milano, Protas, and Strome, while Lindgren stopped 21 out of 24 shots, which was an .875 save percentage. 

Prior to that game, Washington lost to the Islanders by a score of 3-1 and the Stars by a score of 1-0. The Capitals have lost four games in a row and they are currently last in the Metro standings with 13 points. Washington has scored 2.58 goals per game and they have allowed 2.33 goals against per game, while also going 15.0% on the power play and 75.0% on the penalty kill this season. Tom Wilson has led Washington with six goals and seven assists, while Dylan Strome has added three goals and eight assists. The projected starting goalie for Washington is Logan Thompson, who is 5-3-0 with a 1.51 goals against average and a .935 save percentage this season. 

Why the Washington Capitals will win

  • The Blues have lost each of their last six night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Capitals have won each of their last six games at Capital One Arena after coming off a shootout.
  • The Blues have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last five night games against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Capitals have covered the puck line in each of their last five night games at Capital One Arena after coming off overtime.
  • The Blues have lost the second period in five of their last six games as underdogs against Eastern Conference opponents when trailing after the first period.

    Total Goals Facts

    • Each of the Blues’ last five games as underdogs following a win have gone OVER the total goals line.
    • Each of the Capitals’ last five night games at Capital One Arena following a shootout loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Capitals’ last 10 home games against the Blues.
    • The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last eight night games at Capital One Arena.

    Washington Capitals Player Prop Facts

    • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one point in 11 of the Capitals’ last 12 games as home favorites against Central Division opponents.
    • Tom Wilson has scored at least one goal in four of his last five home appearances against Central Division opponents.
    • Dylan Strome has recorded at least one assist in five of the Capitals’ last six home games against Central Division opponents.

    St. Louis Blues Player Prop Facts

    • Robert Thomas has recorded at least one point in each of the Blues’ last 10 Wednesday night road games.
    • Nick Bjugstad has scored a goal in three of the Blues’ last four road games.
    • Jake Neighbours has recorded an assist in each of his last four road appearances against Metropolitan Division opponents.

    Blues vs Capitals Prediction 

    Washington comes into this matchup trying to snap their four game losing streak, but they have only scored five goals during that span. The Capitals are 3-4-0 at home this year, while the Blues are 2-3-0 on the road. St. Louis has lost seven of their last eight games, but their defense has improved in their last two, after being very shaky to start the year. Neither team is playing very well right now, but I have to side with Washington at home, as their goalies are playing at an elite level.

    David Racey's Pick: Capitals ML

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