Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction 11/10/2026 Today’s NHL Picks

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Maple Leafs are coming off a horrible week where they lost three straight games and are averaging 1.33 goals during that streak. Usually, the Avalanche would dominate a spot like this. However, as I’ve said time and time again, the Avs are as vulnerable as they’ve been in a while, as the defense has been sloppy at times.

The Avs have also lost five times on the road this season and recently lost at home to the Predators as -200 favorites. You can make money fading the Avalanche, which hasn’t been the case in years. In fact, the Avs are currently a loser on the season for NHL bettors. It also doesn’t hurt that the Maple Leafs have won four of the last six games against the Avalanche, which includes a 6-3 win back in October. Give me the Maple Leafs at home and the more favorable price on Tuesday night.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Preview

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Red Wings, lost to the Predators, and they play the Senators next. The Avalanche have won 5 of their last 8 games. The Avalanche are 3-5-0 SU on the road, 7-1-2 SU at home, and 10-8 ATS on the season.

The Colorado Avalanche are averaging 4 goals per game and are scoring on 22.3 percent of their power play opportunities. Artturi Lehkonen leads the Avs with 12 goals, 5 assists, and 38 shots. Nathan MacKinnon has 10 goals, 20 assists, and 66 shots. Martin Necas has 9 goals, 14 assists, and 38 shots. Defensively, the Colorado Avalanche are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 78.2 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Mackenzie Blackwood has given up 35 goals on 353 shots faced. Scott Wedgewood has allowed 18 goals on 135 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Habs and Devils, and they play the Wild next. The Maple Leafs have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Maple Leafs are 4-3-1 SU on the road, 4-6-1 SU at home, and 11-8 ATS on the season.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.37 goals per game and are scoring 28.6 percent of their power-play opportunities. Auston Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 11 goals, 16 assists, and 58 shots. William Nylander has 11 goals, 11 assists, and 56 shots. Jack Roslovic has 8 goals, 10 assists, and 46 shots. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 3.32 goals per game and are killing 85.9 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Sergei Bobrovsky has allowed 40 goals on 352 shots faced. Anthony Stolarz has given up 19 goals on 206 shots.

Avalanche vs Maple Leafs Injury Report

The Avs will be without Zachary L’Heureux and Josh Manson.

The Maple Leafs will be without John Tavares, Kirill Marchenko, Miles Wood, Nick Blankenburg, Marshall Rifai, Max Domi, Cade Webber, Elvis Merzlikins, and William Villeneuve.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

• The Avalanche have lost four of their last five games as road favorites following a home win.
• The underdogs have won seven of the Avalanche’s last nine games at Scotiabank Arena.
• The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in five of their last six games as a home underdog when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Avalanche have failed to cover the puck line in five of their last six games as road favorites following a win.
• The home team has won the second period in six of the Avalanche’s last seven games.

Why the Colorado Avalanche will win

• The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last 10 games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The road team has won each of the last three games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs.
• The road team has covered the puck line in each of the last three games between the Avalanche and Maple Leafs.
• The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in six of their last seven home games following a loss.
• The Avalanche have won the second period in five of their last six games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Maple Leafs’ last four games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Avalanche’s last four road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Maple Leafs’ last 13 games as underdogs against Central Division opponents.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2’ market has hit in each of the Avalanche’s last 10 road games against opponents on a losing streak.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

• Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in seven of his last nine home appearances against Central Division opponents.
• Kirill Marchenko has recorded at least one assist in nine of his last 10 appearances against Central Division opponents.
• William Nylander has recorded three assists against the Avalanche this season – most against any opponent.

Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Facts

• Nathan MacKinnon has scored at least one goal in four of the Avalanche’s last five games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Cale Makar has recorded an assist in each of the Avalanche’s last six games against the Maple Leafs.
• Nathan MacKinnon has scored two goals against the Maple Leafs this season- the most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Toronto Maple Leafs have recorded the equal-most wins when trailing after Period 1 this season (3).
• The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only five teams in the league to rank top 10 for both power play and penalty kill percentage this season.
• The Colorado Avalanche have recorded the most wins by a margin of 4+ goals this season (4).
• The Colorado Avalanche rank 2nd in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.83).

Randy Chambers's Pick: Maple Leafs