Anaheim Ducks vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 10/25/2025 Today’s NHL Picks

The Anaheim Ducks and the Tampa Bay Lightning meet Saturday in NHL action from the Benchmark International Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction.

Anaheim Ducks Recap

The Anaheim Ducks come into this game looking to add on to their 7-5 win over the Boston Bruins in their last game to improve to 4-2-1 this season. After this game, Anaheim will head on the road for a game against the Florida Panthers.

Ducks Win Back-To-Back Games

Leo Carlsson leads the Ducks with 8 points coming on 3 goals and 5 assists while Mikael Granlund has 8 points with 2 goals and a team-high 6 assists. Troy Terry has 7 points with 2 goals and 5 assists while Cutter Gauthier has 6 points with 5 goals and Mason McTavish has 6 points with 5 assists. Chris Kreider’s got 5 points with 4 goals and Beckett Sennecke has 5 points with 3 goals and 2 assists. Nikita Nesterenko has 4 assists and Jacob Trouba has 4 points with 3 assists while Drew Helleson has 3 points with 2 goals. Lukas Dostal has gone 2-2-1 with a 2.82 GAA and a .904 save percentage in goal for Anaheim while Petr Mrazek has gone 2-0 with a 5.52 GAA and an .831 save percentage this season. 

Tampa Bay Lightning Recap

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game looking to rebound from their 3-2 loss at the hands of the Chicago Blackhawks to sit at 1-4-2 this season. After this game, Tampa Bay will take on the Vegas Golden Knights at home.

Lightning Lose 4 In A Row

Jake Guentzel has 7 points with 2 goals and a team-high 5 assists while Victor Hedman has 5 assists. Brayden Point has 6 points with 2 goals and 4 assists and Anthony Cirelli has 4 points with a team-high 3 goals. Nikita Kucherov and Ryan McDonagh each have 5 points with Kucherov logging 2 goals while McDonagh has 3 goals and 2 assists while Oliver Bjorkstrand, Darren Raddysh and Pontus Holmberg each have 3 points with 2 assists. Maxwell Crozier and Gage Goncalves each have 3 assists while Yanni Gourde has a pair of goals. Andrei Vasilevskiy has gone 0-3-2 with a 3.41 GAA and an .885 save percentage while Jonas Johansson is 1-1 with a 3.06 GAA and a .906 save percentage this season. 

Anaheim Ducks @ Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends: October 25, 2025

Why the Tampa Bay Lightning will win

• The Lightning have won each of their last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Ducks have lost each of their last five games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have covered the puck line in each of their last four home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• The Lightning have won the third period in seven of their last eight games against Pacific Division opponents when leading after the second period.

Why the Anaheim Ducks will win

• The Lightning have lost each of their last 11 night games.
• The underdogs have won five of the Lightning’s last six games at Benchmark International Arena.
• The Lightning have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last eight games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Lightning’s last seven games.
• The Lightning have lost the third period in each of their last six home games.

Total Goals Facts

• Each of the Lightning’s last four games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
• Each of the Ducks’ last four road games against opponents on a losing streak have gone OVER the total goals line.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3’ market has hit in each of the Lightning’s last nine home games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Ducks’ last seven road games against the Lightning.

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Hagel has scored at least one goal in seven of the Lightning’s last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Brandon Hagel has recorded at least one point in each of the Lightning’s last eight home games against Pacific Division opponents.
• Nikita Kucherov has recorded at least one assist in five of the Lightning’s last six home games against the Ducks.
• Victor Hedman ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference for average time on ice (24:43) this season.

Anaheim Ducks Player Prop Facts

• Cutter Gauthier has scored at least one goal in three of the Ducks’ last four road games.
• Jackson LaCombe has recorded at least one assist in each of the Ducks’ last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Leo Carlsson has recorded at least one point in each of the Ducks’ last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents.
• Jacob Trouba ranks T2nd in the Pacific Division for Plus/Minus (+7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 27th in the league for goals per game this season (2.57).
• The Tampa Bay Lightning rank 7th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (88.46%).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 5th in the league for goals per game this season (3.71).
• The Anaheim Ducks rank 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (68.75%).

Anaheim Ducks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

I’m on the Ducks here. I just think that Tampa Bay is a bit overvalued here based on name brand, but the Lightning just haven’t played well enough to justify this price and I’m not laying this price with Tampa Bay just because they’re due for a win. The Ducks have been a great underdog in spots and I think they can provide some value here. Give me the Ducks in this one.