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Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction 3/20/25 NHL Picks

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New York Rangers (33-30-6) vs Toronto Maple Leafs (41-24-3)

March 20, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: New York Rangers -125 / Toronto Maple Leafs +105 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Toronto Maple Leafs and New York Rangers meet Thursday in NHL action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction. This article will include a Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Pick.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview 

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Flames and Avs, and they play the Predators, Flyers, and Sharks next. The Maple Leafs need a big road win after losing five of their last eight games. 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.19 goals per game and are scoring 25.7 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 38 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 62 shots on goal and Auston Matthews has 215 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.93 goals per game and are killing 78.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 60 goals on 734 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 94 goals on 1,023 shots.

New York Rangers Betting Preview 

The New York Rangers lost to the Oilers and Flames, and they play the Canucks, Kings, and Ducks next. The Rangers also need a win after losing six of their last eight games. 

The New York Rangers are averaging 2.96 goals per game and are scoring 18.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Artemi Panarin leads New York with 30 goals, Adam Fox has 44 assists, and Vincent Trocheck has 171 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Rangers are allowing 2.99 goals per game and are killing 82.1 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Igor Shesterkin has allowed 135 goals on 1,459 shots faced, and Jonathan Quick has given up 60 goals on 577 shots.

Why the New York Rangers will win

  • The Rangers have won five of their last six games at Madison Square Garden against opponents on a winning streak.
  • The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in seven of their last eight road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The home team has covered the puck line in six of the Maple Leafs’ last seven games.
  • The Maple Leafs have lost the second period in four of their last five night games at Madison Square Garden.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against the Rangers.
  • The Rangers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in 15 of the last 16 games between the Maple Leafs and Rangers.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Madison Square Garden.
  • The Maple Leafs have won the third period in each of their last four road games following a home win.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Rangers rank 1st in the league in short-handed goals this season (14).
  • The New York Rangers rank T3rd in the league in short-handed goals allowed this season (3).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win 10+ games when trailing after Period 1 this season.
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only four teams to win a game when trailing by 3 or more goals after Period 1 this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Injury Report 

The New York Rangers will be without Adam Edstrom and Arthur Kaliyev.

The Maple Leafs won’t have Max Pacioretty and Jani Hakanpaa.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction

The Rangers have had issues stringing together success and it makes them hard to back nightly, especially against good teams. That home loss to the Flames as a -260 favorite doesn’t help matters. The Maple Leafs have shown flashes of being a legit contender in the East and they have 19 wins on the road. The Maple Leafs have won five of the last seven games against the Rangers. We’re getting a slightly better price with the better team. I’ll roll with the Maple Leafs on the road.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs +105

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