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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction 3/20/25 NHL Picks

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Dallas Stars (43-21-3) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (39-23-5)

March 20, 2025 at 08:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Dallas Stars -130 / Tampa Bay Lightning +110 — Over/Under: 5.5

(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction for this NHL game on Thursday, March 20th  at the American Airlines Center. To formulate this prediction, we will look at: 

-The Lightning’s recent form and recent player performance 

-The Stars’  recent form and recent player performance

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Tampa Bay

-Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Dallas

-Recent betting trends in games played between Tampa Bay and Dallas

-A summary that ties it all together produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between the Lightning and Stars. 

Lightning Look for Another Key Win

The Lightning are playing well heading into this game and they have won two games in a row. Two games ago against the Boston Bruins, they won 6-2 and in the last game against the Flyers, they picked up the 2-0 victory. Nikita Kucherov had a strong game scoring a goal and adding an assist. Andrei Vasilevsky was in goal and he saved all 21 shots that he faced. Goaltending will be a key again here. 

The Lightning are averaging 3.05 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.64 goals per game. The offense is ranked 2nd in the league while the defense is ranked 7th. They have a scoring efficiency ratio of 1.328, which is 3rd in the league. Nikita Kucherov has been the top player, scoring 29 goals and adding 66 assists so far this season. Andrei Vasilevsky is expected to start in goal, and he sits with a 32-18-3 record, and he’s giving up 2.28 goals per game. 

Why the Lightning WIll Beat the Stars

  • The Lightning have won each of their last four night games following a home win.
  • The Stars have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games following a win.
  • The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Stars’ last three games at American Airlines Center.
  • The Stars have lost the first period in each of their last three games following a win.

Stars Look for Second Straight Win

The Stars had lost two games in a row, but they bounced back. The Stars faced off against the Anaheim Ducks and they were able to secure the 4-3 victory. Thomas Harley had a strong game scoring a goal and adding two assists. Mikael Granlund also had a huge game scoring two goals. Two games ago against the Colorado Avalanche, the Stars scored three goals, but the defense gave up four goals, and that led to the defeat. 

The Stars are averaging 3.38 goals, while their defense is giving up 2.63 goals per game. The offense is ranked 4th, and if they want to find success in this game, the offense is going to need to get the offense ou to a fast start. Jake Oettinger is expected to get the start in goal for the Stars, and he sits with a 31-15-3 record overall, and he’s giving up 2.55 goals per game. The Stars have lost three of his last four starts. 

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction

Give me the Lightning as the underdogs here. The Stars have lost three of the last four games by Oettinger, and it’s not going to get any easier in this game. The Lightning are averaging 3.51 goals which is second in the league, and they are going to get the offense out to a fast start. Oettinger is going to struggle again here, and it’s going to be Tampa Bay that will end up cruising. Back the Lightning on the money line to cash here.  

Shane Mickle's Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning ML

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