Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 3/13/25 NHL Picks
Toronto Maple Leafs (39-22-3) vs Florida Panthers (40-22-3)
Game Info: Thursday, March 13, 2025 at 7:00 pm (Scotiabank Arena)
Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -102 / Florida Panthers -118 --- Over/Under: 5.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ESPN+
The Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs meet Thursday in NHL action from the Scotiabank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction.
Matchup History
The Florida Panthers won the lone meeting between these two teams this season in Florida by a final score of 4-1 back on November 27th, 2024. The win made it back-to-back victories for the Panthers in this head-to-head matchup.
Florida Panthers Recap
The Florida Panthers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss to the Boston Bruins last time out to sit at 40-22-3 on the year. After this game, Florida will continue their road trip with a game against the Montreal Canadiens.
Panthers Looking To Rebound After Having Six-Game Win Streak Snapped
Sam Reinhart has a team-high 68 points including 32 goals and 36 assists while Sam Bennett has 42 points with 20 goals and 22 assists and Anton Lundell has 41 points of his own with 15 goals and 26 assists. Aleksander Barkov also has 60 points with 43 assists of his own while Carter Verhaeghe has 45 points with 17 goals and 28 assists and Matthew Tkachuk has 57 points with 22 goals and 35 assists. Sergei Bobrovsky is 27-14-2 with a 2.51 GAA and a .907 save percentage in goal for Florida this season.
Why the Florida Panthers will win
- The Panthers have won each of their last six night games following a road loss.
- The Maple Leafs have lost each of their last four night games after coming off a shootout.
- The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last seven games.
- The Panthers have covered the puck line in nine of their last 10 games against the Maple Leafs.
Florida Panthers Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Ekblad has recorded at least one assist in each of his last six appearances after playing less than 20 minutes in the Panthers' last game.
- Matthew Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in each of his last seven appearances with the Panthers as favorites.
- Matthew Tkachuk has recorded at least one point in each of his last eight appearances with the Panthers as favorites.
- Aleksander Barkov ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs come into this game looking to add on to a 4-3 shootout win over the Utah Hockey Club last time out to sit at 39-22-3 on the year. After this game, Toronto will take on the Senators, Flames, Avalanche, and Rangers.
Maple Leafs Snap Three-Game Losing Streak
Mitch Marner has a team-high 80 points with 21 goals and a team-high 59 assists while William Nylander has 66 points with a team-high 36 goals. John Tavares has 55 points with 26 goals and 29 assists and Auston Matthews has 56 points with 23 goals and 33 assists. Matthew Knies has 43 points with 24 goals while Morgan Rielly has 33 points with 7 goals and 26 assists as well on the year. Anthony Stolarz has gone 13-6-3 on the year in goal for Toronto with a 2.33 GAA and a .921 save percentage while Joseph Woll is 22-12 with a 2.78 GAA and a .905 save percentage and Dennis Hildeby has a 3-3 record, a 3.33 GAA and an .878 save percentage.
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Maple Leafs' last four games at Scotiabank Arena.
- The Panthers have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last 13 games as home underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Panthers have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five road games.
Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts
- Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of his last six appearances with the Maple Leafs as home underdogs.
- Mitch Marner has recorded at least one assist in seven of the Maple Leafs' last eight home games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Mitch Marner has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs' last 11 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
- Matthew Knies ranks 1st amongst qualified Eastern Conference players for shooting percentage (22.9%) this season.
Total Goals Facts
- Nine of the Maple Leafs' last 10 games after coming off a shootout have gone OVER the total goals line.
- Seven of the Panthers' last eight games have gone UNDER the total goals line.
- Each of the last four games between two teams from the Atlantic Division has gone UNDER the total goals line.
Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction
I’m on the under in this game. These two teams don’t like each other to begin with and the addition of Brad Marchand adds another level of grit to the Florida Panthers in a get under your skin kind of way. Both sides have had some solid goaltending this season as well and I think this is going to end up feeling like a playoff-type atmosphere because it wouldn’t shock me if these two teams met down the road in the postseason. Give me the under in a first to 3 wins kind of game.
Chris’s Pick Under 5.5
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo

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