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Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction 3/11/25 NHL Picks
Pick details
Philadelphia Flyers (27-30-8) vs Ottawa Senators (33-25-5)
March 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Flyers +100 / Ottawa Senators -120 — Over/Under: 5.5
The Ottawa Senators and the Philadelphia Flyers meet Tuesday in NHL action from the Wells Fargo Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction.
Matchup History
The Philadelphia Flyers won the lone meeting between these two teams earlier this season in Ottawa by a final score of 5-4 in OT back on November 14th, 2024, making it back-to-back wins for the Flyers in this head-to-head matchup.
Ottawa Senators Recap
The Ottawa Senators come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Detroit Red Wings last time out to sit at 33-25-5 on the year. After this game, Ottawa will head home for a game against the Boston Bruins.
Senators Win Third In A Row
Tim Stutzle leads the Senators with 65 points including 20 goals and 45 assists while Brady Tkachuk has 50 points with a team-high 26 goals and 24 assists. Drake Batherson has 49 points with 16 goals and 33 assists and Claude Giroux has 12 goals and 28 assists while Jake Sanderson also has 43 points with 6 goals and 37 assists so far this season. Linus Ullmark is 16-11-3 with a 2.67 GAA and a .913 save percentage in goal for Ottawa so far this year while Mads Sogaard is 1-1 with a 5.24 GAA and a .800 save percentage and Anton Forsberg is 8-10-1 with a 2.82 GAA and an .8954 save percentage as well this season. Leevi Merilainen has also gone 8-3-1 with a 1.99 GAA and a .925 save percentage this season.
Why the Ottawa Senators will win
- The Flyers have lost seven of their last eight games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The road team has won each of the Flyers’ last five games.
- The Senators have covered the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games against the Flyers at Wells Fargo Center.
- The Flyers have failed to cover the puck line in 13 of their last 14 games at Wells Fargo Center following a home loss.
Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts
- Brady Tkachuk has scored at least one goal in five of his last six appearances.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded an assist in each of the Senators’ last six games as favorites against the Flyers.
- Tim Stutzle has recorded at least one point in 14 of the Senators’ last 15 games.
- Ridly Greig has recorded two assists against the Flyers this season – equal-most against any opponent.
Philadelphia Flyers Recap
The Philadelphia Flyers come into this game looking to bounce back from a 3-1 loss at home at the hands of the New Jersey Devils last time out to fall to 27-30-8 on the year. After this game, Philadelphia will square off against the Tampa Bay Lightning at home.
Flyers Lose 4th Game In A Row
Travis Konecny leads the Flyers with 64 points coming on 22 goals and 42 assists while Matvei Michkov has 47 points with 20 goals and 27 assists. Owen Tippett has added 36 points with 19 goals and 17 assists and Bobby Brink’s added 29 points with 8 goals and 21 assists as well on the year. Sean Couturier has 31 points with 10 goals and 21 assists and Tyson Foerster has 30 points with 16 goals and 14 assists. Noah Cates has also chipped in 28 points with 14 goals and 14 assists so far this year. Samuel Ersson has gone 18-12-4 in goal for the Flyers this season with a 2.97 GAA and an .889 save percentage while Ivan Fedotov is 5-10-3 with a 3.02 GAA and an .886 save percentage. Aleksei Kolosov is also 4-8-1 with a 3.45 GAA and an .870 save percentage so far this season.
Why the Philadelphia Flyers will win
- The Senators have lost each of their last six road games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The home team has won four of the Senators’ last five games.
- The Senators have failed to cover the puck line in 19 of their last 20 games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Senators’ last four games.
Philadelphia Flyers Player Prop Facts
- Travis Konecny has recorded an assist in each of his last five appearances against the Senators after playing less than 20 minutes in the Flyers’ last game.
- Ryan Ellis has scored a goal in each of his last four home appearances against the Senators.
- Ryan Ellis has recorded at least one point in each of his seven previous home appearances against the Senators.
- Travis Konecny ranks T1st in the league for shootout goals (3) this season.
Total Goals Facts
- Each of the Senators’ last six road games has gone OVER the total goals line.
- Eight of the Flyers’ last nine games following a loss have gone UNDER the total goals line.
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers Prediction
I’m on the Senators here. It’s been no real secret this season that the Senators have played their best hockey at home, but they’re at least winning games right now. The Flyers on the other hand are on a fast track in the other direction and are starting to watch their playoff hopes go up in smoke. I think the Flyers continue to struggle here and the Senators nab themselves another win in this one. Give me Ottawa here.