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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 3/7/25 NHL Picks

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Vegas Golden Knights (37-18-6) vs Pittsburgh Penguins (24-30-10)

March 7, 2025 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Vegas Golden Knights -250 / Pittsburgh Penguins +205 — Over/Under: 6.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Vegas Golden Knights meet Friday in NHL action at the T-Mobile Arena. Here’s a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction. This article will include a Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Pick.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Preview 

The Pittsburgh Penguins lost to the Avalanche and Maple Leafs, and play the Wild, Blues, and Devils next. The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight games and have allowed three or more goals in all eight games. 

The Pittsburgh Penguins are averaging 2.86 goals per game and are scoring 23.9 percent of their power play opportunities. Rickard Rakell leads Pittsburgh with 29 goals, Sidney Crosby has 47 assists, and Erik Karlsson has 157 shots on goal. Defensively, the Pittsburgh Penguins are allowing 3.63 goals per game and are killing 78.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Tristan Jarry has allowed 69 goals on 596 shots faced, and Alex Nedelijkovic has given up 96 goals on 892 shots.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Preview 

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Devils and Maple Leafs, and they play the Kings, Penguins, and Blue Jackets next. The Golden Knights have won six of their last seven games and haven’t lost at home since January 30. 

The Vegas Golden Knights are averaging 3.33 goals per game and are scoring on 28.6 percent of their power play opportunities. Tomas Hertl leads Vegas with 24 goals, Jack Eichel has 54 assists and Pavel Dorofeyev has 179 shots on goal. Defensively, the Vegas Golden Knights are allowing 2.72 goals per game and are killing 76.8 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Ilya Samsonov has given up 70 goals on 621 shots faced, while Adin Hill has allowed 91 goals on 973 shots.

Why the Vegas Golden Knights will win

  • The Penguins have lost seven of their last eight games.
  • The Golden Knights have won each of their last five night games at T-Mobile Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Golden Knights have covered the puck line in 12 of their last 13 night games at T-Mobile Arena against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Penguins have failed to cover the puck line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
  • The Penguins have lost the first period in five of their last six night games.

Why the Pittsburgh Penguins will win

  • The Golden Knights have lost three of their last four games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
  • The Penguins have won two of their last three games as underdogs against the Golden Knights.
  • The Penguins have covered the puck line in eight of their last 10 games as underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Golden Knights have failed to cover the puck line in three of their last four games as home favorites against Metropolitan Division opponents.
  • The underdogs have won the third period in each of the last three games between the Penguins and Golden Knights.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Vegas Golden Knights are one of six teams to rank in the top 10 for both goals scored and goals conceded per game this season.
  • The Vegas Golden Knights rank 8th in the league for goals against per game this season (2.72).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 30th in the league in save percentage this season (.880).
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins rank 29th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.25).

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Injury Report

The Vegas Golden Knights will be without Raphael Lavoie and Shea Theodore.

The Penguins will be without P.O Joseph. 

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction

The Pittsburgh Penguins look like a team that’s run out of gas, as they’ve lost eight of their last 10 games and are getting rocked defensively. Don’t expect things to change here on the road where the Penguins have lost 17 times. The Vegas Golden Knights have seen 23 of their 37 wins come at home and they’re back on track with wins in six of their last seven games overall. This is two teams heading in different directions and it’s hard to make a case for the Penguins. I’ll roll with the Golden Knights and lay the PL to shave down the price.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Vegas Golden Knights -1.5

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