New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction NHL Picks 12/31/24

Pick details

Toronto Maple Leafs (22-13-2) vs New York Islanders (14-16-7)

December 31, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Toronto Maple Leafs -145 / New York Islanders +120 — Over/Under: 7.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Islanders and Toronto Maple Leafs meet Tuesday in NHL action at the Scotiabank Arena. Here’s a New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction. This article will include a New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick.

New York Islanders Betting Preview

The New York Islanders lost to the Sabres, split with the Penguins, and they play the Bruins, Golden Knights and Utah Hockey Club next. The New York Islanders are averaging 2.68 goals per game and are scoring 11.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Anders Lee leads New York with 17 goals, Bo Horvat has 18 assists and Noah Dobson has 112 shots on goal. Defensively, the New York Islanders are allowing 3.19 goals per game and are killing 63.3 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Semyon Varlamov has allowed 29 goals on 262 shots faced, and Ilya Sorokin has given up 75 goals on 732 shots.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs lost to the Capitals, beat the Red Wings, and they play the Bruins, Flyers, and Hurricanes next. The Toronto Maple Leafs are averaging 3.11 goals per game and are scoring 20.4 percent of their power play opportunities. William Nylander leads Toronto with 23 shots on goal, Mitch Marner has 37 shots on goal and John Tavares has 110 shots on goal. Defensively, the Toronto Maple Leafs are allowing 2.84 goals per game and are killing 81.4 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Anthony Stolarz has allowed 35 goals on 480 shots faced, and Joseph Woll has given up 40 goals on 439 shots.

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Report

The Islanders will be without Semyon Varlamov, who is still on the injured reserve. The Maple Leafs will be without Jani Hakanpaa, Anthony Stolarz, and Auston Matthews. Oliver Ekman-Larsson is questionable for the Maple Leafs as he’s dealing with an illness.

Why the Toronto Maple Leafs will win

  • The Islanders have lost eight of their last nine day games against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • The Maple Leafs have won each of their last three games against the Islanders following a home loss.
  • The Maple Leafs have covered the puck line in each of their last five games against the Islanders following a home loss.
  • The Islanders have failed to cover the puck line in eight of their last nine Tuesday games.
  • The favorites have won the second period in six of the Islanders’ last seven games at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

  • Mitch Marner has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs’ last four home games.
  • Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in six of his eight previous home appearances against the Islanders.
  • Auston Matthews has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against the Islanders.
  • Mitch Marner ranks T2nd in the league for multi-point games (18) this season.

New York Islanders Player Prop Facts

  • Bo Horvat has scored a goal in each of the Islanders’ last four games as road underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
  • Mathew Barzal has recorded at least one point in each of his last six appearances against the Maple Leafs.
  • Anthony Duclair has recorded an assist in each of his last six road appearances against the Maple Leafs.
  • Simon Holmstrom has recorded two assists against the Maple Leafs this season – equal most against any opponent.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs rank T6th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (0.81).
  • The Toronto Maple Leafs are one of only eight teams to not play in a game that has gone to a shootout this season.
  • The New York Islanders rank 25th in the league for goals per game this season (2.68).
  • The New York Islanders rank 32nd in the league for power-play goals this season (11).

New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs are dealing with a lot of injuries and are seeing a dip defensively, so it’s worth giving the Islanders a look at the underdog role. The Islanders also beat the Leafs less than two weeks ago. However, the Islanders have underachieved up to this point and have a ton of frustrating results. It’s hard to take the Islanders seriously, especially on the road. Even with banged-up bodies, the Maple Leafs are dangerous offensively, and they’re 14-7-0 on their home ice. I still trust the Maple Leafs more and the price is fair. Give me the Maple Leafs on Tuesday afternoon.

Randy Chambers's Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -145

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