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Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 9/11/2025 Today’s NFL Picks
Pick details
Washington (1-0) vs Green Bay (1-0)
September 11, 2025 at 08:15 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Green Bay -3.5 — Over/Under: +48.5
The Washington Commanders and Green Bay Packers meet Thursday in NFL action at Lambeau Field. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers Prediction. This article will include a Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers Pick.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders beat the Giants, and they play the Raiders and Falcons next. The Washington Commanders look for their second 2-0 start in the last 3 years. Jayden Daniels is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for , 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Deebo Samuel and Chris Moore have combined for 111 receiving yards on 8 catches, while Austin Ekeler has 3 receptions.
The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 220 yards per contest, and Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the way with 82 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Washington is allowing 6 points and 231 yards per game. Bobby Wagner leads the Washington Commanders with 10 tackles, Daron Payne has 1 sack and Noah Igbinoghene has 1 pass deflection.
Green Bay Packers Betting Preview
The Green Bay Packers beat the Lions, and they play the Browns and Cowboys next. The Packers look for their first 2-0 start since the 2020 season. Jordan Love is completing 72.7 percent of his passes for 188 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed have combined for 113 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while Dontayvion Wicks has 2 receptions.
The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 78 yards per contest, and Josh Jacobs leads the way with 66 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 13 points and 246 yards per game. Edgerrin Cooper leads the Green Bay Packers with 12 tackles, Rashan Gary has 1.5 sacks and Evan Williams has 1 interception.
Washington Commanders @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 2
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The Packers have won each of their last six home games against the Commanders.
- The Commanders have lost seven of their last eight games at Lambeau Field.
- The Packers have covered the spread in each of their last seven Week 2 home games.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Thursday games.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last four home games following a win.
- The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last five road openers.
Why the Washington Commanders will win
- The Commanders have won seven of their last eight games against NFC opponents.
- The Packers have lost each of their last two September games as favorites against NFC East opponents.
- The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four games in September.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Packers have lost the first quarter in four of their last six September games as favorites.
- The Commanders have won the first half in three of their last four Thursday road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last six September games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Packers’ last four September games against NFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Jayden Reed has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four September home games against NFC opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 246+ passing yards in four of the Packers’ last five September games against NFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 81+ rushing yards in each of his last three appearances against NFC East opponents.
- Jordan Love has recorded 20+ completions in four of the Packers’ last five games at Lambeau Field as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last nine regular season games.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last six games as favorites following a win.
- Heading into Week 2, Daniel Whelan ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (54.7) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in nine of the Commanders’ last 10 road games.
- Deebo Samuel has recorded 54+ receiving yards in each of his last eight September appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 29+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 233+ passing yards in seven of the Commanders’ last eight games as underdogs.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Commanders’ last seven games as road underdogs.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 57+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 September road appearances.
- Heading into Week 2, Will Harris ranks T1st in the league for forced fumbles (1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 2, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (10.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 2, the Packers rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (100.0) this season.
- Commanders – one different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
- Heading into Week 2, the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (6.0) this season.
Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers Prediction
I considered the Commanders and the free points, as I like my dogs on short weeks. The Commanders also have a superstar quarterback who provides a punchers chance to win each and every game. However, I just don’t trust the Commanders defensively, and a win over the Giants doesn’t move the needle. The Commanders also have offensive line issues that will be tested against better teams.
The Packers are one of the more complete teams in the league, and they flexed their muscle against the Lions. While that does create a letdown spot, the line isn’t enough for me to move on the Commanders. Give me the Packers by a touchdown.