Titans vs Raiders Prediction 10/12/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Titans vs Raiders prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 12th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 6 matchup.

Tennessee Titans Betting Preview

The Tennessee Titans are 1-4 this year after they defeated Arizona by a score of 22-21 last week. Tennessee trailed 21-3 in the second quarter, but they benefitted from an Arizona fumble at the one yard line and they scored the last 19 points to sneak away with the win. The Titans were out gained by a total of 360-327, went 5-15 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 3-2 in the game. Cam Ward went 21-39 for 265 yards and one interception, while Tony Pollard rushed 14 times for 67 yards and one score. Calvin Ridley led the receivers with five receptions for 131 yards in the win. The Tennessee defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Titans started the season with losses to the Texans, Colts, Rams, and Broncos. Tennessee is averaging 14.6 points per game with 148.6 passing yards and 85.2 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 28.2 points against per game this season. Cam Ward has completed 51.8% of his passes for 879 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Calvin Ridley has 15 receptions for 272 yards. Tony Pollard has been the lead back with 82 carries for 328 yards and two scores this year. 

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are 1-4 this season after they lost to Indianapolis by a score of 40-6 in their last game. Las Vegas led 3-0 in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 40 points in the lopsided loss. The Raiders were out gained by a total of 317-296, went 8-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Geno Smith went 25-36 for 228 yards and two interceptions, while Ashton Jeanty rushed 14 times for 67 yards. Tre Tucker led the receivers with four catches for 62 yards in the loss. The LV defense recorded zero sacks and two tackles for loss in the game. 

Prior to that defeat, the Raiders lost to the Bears, Commanders, and Chargers, but did start the season with a win over the Patriots. Las Vegas is averaging 16.6 points per game with 210.2 passing yards and 112.6 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 27.8 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has completed 65% of his passes for 1,176 yards, six touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Jakobi Meyers has 25 receptions for 290 yards. Ashton Jeanty has led the rushing attack with 82 carries for 349 yards and two scores this season. 

Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win

The Titans have lost each of their last eight games against AFC opponents.
The favorites have won seven of the Raiders’ last eight games at Allegiant Stadium.
The Titans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Raiders have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against AFC opponents.
The Titans have lost the first half in each of their last six road games.
The Raiders have won the first quarter in four of their last five October games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

Six of the Raiders’ last seven games at Allegiant Stadium following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Eight of the Titans’ last 10 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

Jakobi Meyers has scored a touchdown in each of his last five October home appearances.
Raheem Mostert has recorded 37+ rushing yards in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite on the West Coast.
Raheem Mostert has recorded 30+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 13 appearances in Sunday games played on the West Coast.
Tre Tucker has recorded 57+ receiving yards in three of the Raiders’ last four games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Geno Smith has recorded 289+ passing yards in three of his last four appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last four October appearances against AFC opponents.
Heading into Week 6, Geno Smith has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Chargers, Week 2).

Tennessee Titans Player Prop Facts

Calvin Ridley has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 12 appearances in road day games against teams with a losing record.
Tyjae Spears has recorded 18+ rushing yards in seven of the Titans’ last eight games following a win.
Calvin Ridley has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Titans’ last eight games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
Tyler Lockett has recorded 24+ receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 October road appearances.
Cam Ward has recorded 19+ completions in three of the Titans’ last four games as underdogs.
Heading into Week 6, Chimere Dike ranks 1st in the NFL in kick return yards (666) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

Heading into Week 6, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (8.8) this season.
Heading into Week 6, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in average point differential in third quarters this season (-5.4).
Heading into Week 6, the Titans rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (29.0%) this season.
Heading into Week 6, the Titans have overturned the largest 3rd quarter deficit to win a game this season – 15 points vs Arizona.

Titans vs Raiders Prediction 

Tennessee got extremely lucky to get their first win last week in Arizona, but they will take it and will look for win #2 here. The Titans have been pretty bad on both sides of the ball, but they got more than a few bounces last week to get the win. Las Vegas is also struggling this season and they have allowed 40, 25, and 41 points in their last three games. The Raiders need Geno Smith to play much better at the quarterback spot, but this is a great time for him to bounce back against a bad Titans defense. I don’t love how the Raiders have looked, but I will take them to cover this reasonable number at home. 

David Racey is 31-17 (65%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!