Steelers vs Browns Prediction 12/28/2025 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Steelers vs Browns prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 28th at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 17 matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 9-6 this season after they defeated Detroit by a score of 29-24 in their last game. Pittsburgh tied the game at 10 on a crazy touchdown at the end of the first half and they scored 19 of the first 26 points in the second half to pull away with the win, despite a crazy ending. The Steelers out gained Detroit by a total of 481-361, went 8-16 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Aaron Rodgers went 27-41 for 266 yards and one touchdown, while Jaylen Warren rushed 14 times for 143 yards and two scores. Kenneth Gainwell led the receivers with five catches for 78 yards and one touchdown in the win. 

Prior to that game, Pittsburgh defeated the Dolphins by a score of 28-15 and the Ravens by a score of 27-22. The Steelers have won three games in a row and they are currently first in the AFC North standings. Pittsburgh has scored 24.3 points per game with 199.3 passing yards and 101.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.3 points against per game this season. Aaron Rodgers has thrown for 2,860 yards, 23 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Jaylen Warren has rushed for 828 yards and six scores on 185 carries this season. 

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 3-12 this year after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 23-20 in their last game. Cleveland led 7-0 in the first quarter, but they trailed 20-10 at halftime, before outscoring Buffalo 10-3 in the second half in the loss. The Browns out gained Buffalo by a total of 294-259, went 8-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Shedeur Sanders went 20-29 for 157 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions, while also rushing four times for 49 yards. Trayveon Williams led the receivers with four catches for 38 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Cleveland lost to the Bears by a score of 31-3 and the Titans by a score of 31-29. The Browns have lost four games in a row and they are currently last in the AFC North standings. Cleveland has scored 16.4 points per game with 169.5 passing yards and 96.9 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 23.7 points against per game this season. Shedeur Sanders has thrown for 1,103 yards, six touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Harold Fannin Jr has caught 70 passes for 701 yards and five scores this year. 

Why the Cleveland Browns will win

• The Steelers have lost each of their last three games as road favorites following a win.
• The Browns have won each of their last three games as home underdogs following a home loss.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Steelers’ last nine Week 17 games.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four December games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in six of their last seven games as road favorites against AFC North opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Browns have lost each of their last eight games in December.
• The Steelers have won each of their last six Sunday games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Browns have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games without Cedric Tillman.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in five of their last six games without Pat Freiermuth.
• The Browns have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games in December.
• The favorites have won the first half in each of the Browns’ last four games.

Total Points Facts

• Thirteen of the Steelers’ last 14 games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Ten of the Browns’ last 11 games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

• Harold Fannin Jr. has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Browns’ last three games at Huntington Bank Field.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ rushing yards in each of his last four December appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 275+ passing yards in five of his last six Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Cedric Tillman has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
• Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ completions in five of his last six Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Heading into Week 17, Myles Garrett has recorded the most sacks in a single game this season (5.0 vs Patriots, Week 8).

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Jonnu Smith has scored a touchdown in four of his last five December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Adam Thielen has recorded 10+ receiving yards in 37 of his last 39 appearances following a win.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 15+ rushing and receiving yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Heading into Week 17, Chris Boswell ranks T1st in the AFC for 50+ yard field goals made (8) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 17, the Browns have suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 10+ points this season (5).
• Heading into Week 17, the Browns have suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 20+ points this season (3).
• Steelers – 15 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Steelers – 11 different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Steelers vs Browns Prediction 

Pittsburgh comes into this matchup looking to lock up the AFC North and get back to the postseason, but they will be on the road here. The Steelers have won three in a row and just beat Detroit on the road, which is not easy to do. Cleveland has lost four straight, but two of their three wins this season have been at home and they played Buffalo very close last week. I don’t really believe in this Steelers defense, but their offense can score and Cleveland has scored at least 20 points in three of their last five. Take the over in this one.

David Racey is 101-79 (56%) in the NFL this season and is one of the top NFL cappers on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Pick: Over 34.5