Rams vs Bears Prediction 1/18/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Rams vs Bears prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, January 18th at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFC Divisional matchup. 

Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Rams are 12-5 this season after they defeated Carolina by a score of 34-31 in their last game. Los Angeles led 17-14 at halftime, but they trailed 31-27 with 2:39 left in the fourth, before scoring with 38 seconds left to escape with the win. The Rams out gained Carolina by a total of 411-333, went 3-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Matthew Stafford went 24-42 for 304 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Kyren Williams rushed 13 times for 57 yards. Puka Nacua led the receivers with 10 receptions for 111 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, Los Angeles defeated the Cardinals by a score of 37-20, but lost to the Falcons by a score of 27-24 before that. The Rams have won four of their last six games and they finished second in the NFC West standings. Los Angeles has scored 30.5 points per game with 268.1 passing yards and 126.6 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.4 points against per game this season. Matthew Stafford has thrown for 4,707 yards, 46 touchdowns, and eight interceptions, while Kyren Williams has rushed for 1,252 yards and 10 scores on 259 carries this season. Puka Nacua has led the receivers with 129 receptions for 1,715 yards and 10 touchdowns. 

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are 11-6 this year after they defeated Green Bay by a score of 31-27 in their last game. Chicago trailed 21-3 at halftime and 27-16 in the fourth quarter, but they scored 15 points in the last 4:18 to get the win. The Bears out gained GB by a total of 445-421, went 10-19 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Caleb Williams went 24-48 for 361 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions, while D’Andre Swift rushed 13 times for 54 yards and one score. Colston Loveland led the receivers with eight catches for 137 yards in the win. 

Prior to that game, Chicago lost to the Lions by a score of 19-16 and the 49ers by a score of 42-38. The Bears have won three of their last five games and they finished first in the NFC North standings. Chicago has scored 25.9 points per game with 225.1 passing yards and 144.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.4 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has thrown for 3,942 yards, 27 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while D’Andre Swift has rushed for 1,087 yards and nine scores on 223 carries this year. 

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Rams and Bears.
• The Rams have lost each of their last five road games against NFC North opponents.
• The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last six games at Soldier Field following a home win.
• The Rams have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games without Kyren Williams.
• The Bears have won the first half in four of their last five home games against the Rams.

Why the Los Angeles Rams will win

• The Bears have lost 14 of their last 15 Sunday games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Rams have won 22 of their last 23 Sunday games as favorites.
• The Rams have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games in January.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 January games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last four postseason games against NFC opponents.
• The Rams have won the first half in eight of their last nine Sunday games as favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rams’ last seven games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the Bears’ last six Sunday home games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Colston Loveland has scored a touchdown in four of the Bears’ last five Sunday games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 20+ completions in each of the Bears’ last three games against NFC opponents.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last four Sunday games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 20+ rushing yards in six of the Bears’ last seven games as home underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 239+ passing yards in four of the Bears’ last five home games.
• D’Andre Swift has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last seven games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Heading into the Divisional Round, Caleb Williams has recorded the most passing yards in a single playoff game this season (361 vs Packers, Wild Card Round).

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

• Colby Parkinson has scored the last touchdown in each of the Rams’ last three January games against NFC opponents.
• Puka Nacua has scored two touchdowns in three of the Rams’ last four road games against NFC opponents.
• Colby Parkinson has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of the Rams’ last eight games against NFC opponents.
• Kyren Williams has recorded 88+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Rams’ last five games against NFC North opponents.
• Kyren Williams has recorded 69+ rushing yards in eight of the Rams’ last nine games as road favorites against NFC opponents.
• Puka Nacua has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Rams’ last four games.
• Puka Nacua ranked 1st in the NFL in receptions (129) during the reg. season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Divisional Round.
• The Bears ranked 1st in the NFL in interceptions (23) during the reg. season.
• Rams – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Divisional Round.
• The Rams ranked 1st in the NFL in points per game (30.5) during the reg. season.

Rams vs Bears Prediction 

Both of these teams had very close calls in their first playoff game last weekend, so each side will look to play a more complete game here. Los Angeles has an elite offense, but their defense has been inconsistent and they have allowed 27+ points in four of their last five games. Chicago fell behind early to Green Bay last week, but their defense has been pretty solid over the last five games. I think the Bears have a great shot to win this game, but we should see plenty of points with how the Rams are defending. Take the over here.

David Racey's Pick: Over 48.5