Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Prediction NFL Picks 12/22/24

Pick details

Washington Commanders (9-5) vs Philadelphia Eagles (12-2)

December 22, 2024 at 01:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington Commanders +3.5 / Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 — Over/Under: 45.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Philadelphia Eagles and the Washington Commanders meet Sunday in NFL action from Northwest Stadium. Here’s a Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Eagles vs Commanders pick. We will examine:

The Philadelphia Eagles’ recent form and player performance

The Washington Commanders’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Eagles

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Washington Commanders

Recent betting trends in games played between the Eagles and Commanders

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Eagles vs Commanders game

Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

Philly got off to a spotty 2-2 run before their early bye week this year, but it’s been all Ws since then. The Eagles have dispatched the Browns, Giants, Bengals, Jaguars, Cowboys, Commanders, Rams, Ravens, Panthers and Steelers in the last 10 games.

In their matchup with Pittsburgh last weekend, the Eagles held a modest 17-13 edge at halftime. Philadelphia hit a 10-0 run in the second half though, and won 27-13. Jalen Hurts posted 290 passing yards and two scores. AJ Brown was the leading receiver with eight catches for 110 yards and a TD.

Washington Commanders Betting Preview

Over on the Commanders’ side, they beat the Giants, Bengals, Cardinals, Browns, Panthers, Bears, and Giants again in their first nine games. After losses to the Steelers, Eagles, and Cowboys, Washington has since beaten the Titans and Saints.

Coming out of their bye to play the Saints last weekend, the Commanders held a 14-0 edge going into the third quarter. Washington was outscored 19-6 the rest of the way but powered out the 20-19 win in the end. Jayden Daniels threw for 226 yards and two scores while also leading the rush on 66 yards.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Eagles’ last eight December games against NFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the Commanders’ last four games played on the East Coast have gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts


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  • Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Commanders’ last four December games against NFC opponents.
  • Terry McLaurin has recorded 73+ receiving yards in each of the Commanders’ last six games at Northwest Stadium.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 44+ rushing yards in seven of the Commanders’ last nine games against NFC opponents.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in six of the Commanders’ last eight games following a win.
  • Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Commanders’ last four games as underdogs.
  • Jayden Daniels has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Commanders’ last three games.
  • Heading into Week 16, Terry McLaurin ranks 2nd in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (11) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles Player Prop Facts

  • Jalen Hurts has scored the first touchdown in three of the Eagles’ last four December games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has scored the last touchdown in three of the Eagles’ last four games as favorites following a home win.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 199+ passing yards in each of the Eagles’ last five December games as favorites against NFC East opponents.
  • Saquon Barkley has recorded 116+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Eagles’ last eight games as favorites against NFC opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of the Eagles’ last 11 games following a win.
  • Jahan Dotson has recorded 17+ receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Northwest Stadium.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 61+ rushing yards in each of the Eagles’ last four December games a road favorite against NFC opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has recorded 17+ completions in 12 of his last 13 December appearances against NFC opponents.
  • Jalen Hurts has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Eagles’ last two road games against the Commanders.
  • Heading into Week 16, Jalen Hurts ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing touchdowns (14) this season.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders Prediction

I would take a stab at the Commanders here but the line’s not quite thick enough. Washington didn’t have the greatest second half in their gutsy road win over the Saints last weekend, but it was good enough for a victory. The Commanders finished with 326 yards and 23 first downs in that one but did play a fairly sloppy game on nine penalties for 84 yards. Washington’s defense has held opponents below 20 points in consecutive games now, but that probably won’t happen here.

These teams last met back on November 14 in a 26-18 home win for the Eagles. Philly has been below 28 points in four of their last five games, but the defense has held opponents below 21 points in six straight. Washington has their work cut out for them here, but I think they’re capable of competing at home. I don’t think the Commanders will get close enough to cover, though. Should be a fun matchup at least.

Andrew Jett's Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5

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