Packers vs Bears Prediction 1/10/2026 Today’s NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Packers vs Bears prediction for this NFL game on Saturday, January 10th at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFC Wild Card matchup. 

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 9-7-1 this season after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 16-3 in their last game. Green Bay trailed 13-0 at halftime and 16-0 with one second left, but they kicked a field goal to avoid the shutout. Green Bay did rest a bunch of starters for this game, so this outcome was expected. The Packers were out gained by a total of 363-121, went 3-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Clayton Tune went 6-11 for 34 yards, while Chris Brooks rushed 13 times for 61 yards. Jakobie Keeney-James led the receivers with two catches for 15 yards in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Green Bay lost to the Ravens by a score of 41-24 and the Bears by a score of 22-16. The Packers have lost four games in a row and they finished second in the NFC North standings. Green Bay has scored 23.0 points per game with 212.8 passing yards and 119.8 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.2 points against per game this season. Jordan Love has thrown for 3,381 yards, 23 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Josh Jacobs has rushed for 929 yards and 13 scores on 234 carries. Romeo Doubs has led the receivers with 55 catches for 724 yards and six touchdowns this season. 

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are 11-6 this year after they lost to Detroit by a score of 19-16 in their last game. Chicago trailed 13-0 at halftime and 16-0 in the third quarter, but they tied the game at 16 in the fourth, before losing on a last second field goal. The Bears were out gained by a total of 433-270, went 4-11 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at one in the game. Caleb Williams went 20-33 for 212 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while D’Andre Swift rushed 10 times for 40 yards. Colston Loveland led the receivers with 10 catches for 91 yards and one touchdown in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Chicago lost to the 49ers by a score of 42-38, but did beat the Packers by a score of 22-16 before that. The Bears have lost three of their last five games and they finished first in the NFC North standings. Chicago has scored 25.9 points per game with 225.1 passing yards and 144.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.4 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has thrown for 3,942 yards, 27 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while D’Andre Swift has rushed for 1,087 yards and nine scores on 223 carries. Colston Loveland has led the receivers with 713 yards and six touchdowns on 58 receptions this year. 

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Packers have lost each of their last two games as favorites without Jordan Love.
• The Bears have won each of their last two home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have covered the spread in four of their last five home games following a Division game.
• The Packers have lost the first quarter in each of their last two January games as favorites.
• The Bears have won the first half in four of their last five postseason home games against NFC opponents.

Why the Green Bay Packers will win

• The Packers have won each of their last 10 games as favorites without Luke Musgrave.
• The Bears have lost nine of their last 10 games without Jaquan Brisker.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine January games against NFC North opponents.
• The road team has covered the spread in four of the Packers’ last five postseason games.
• The Packers have won the first quarter in three of their last four postseason games.
• The Packers have won the first half in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Packers’ last five road games without Jayden Reed have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last four games between teams from the same division have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Bears’ last four home games following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• D’Andre Swift has scored the last touchdown in three of his four previous January home appearances against NFC North opponents.
• D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of the Bears’ last three games as underdogs against teams on a losing streak.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six home games against the Packers.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 210+ passing yards in seven of the Bears’ last eight home games.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 30+ rushing yards in five of the Bears’ last six home games against NFC North opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 19+ completions in seven of the Bears’ last eight games against NFC North opponents.
• Cole Kmet has recorded 16+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of the Bears’ last nine January games against NFC opponents.
• Heading into the Wild Card Round, Kevin Byard has recorded the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (2 vs Raiders, Week 4).

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Love has recorded 229+ passing yards in each of the Packers’ last three road games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
• Romeo Doubs has recorded 40+ receiving yards in each of the Packers’ last four games as road favorites against NFC opponents.
• Emanuel Wilson has recorded 17+ rushing yards in five of the Packers’ last six games as road favorites.
• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in 12 of his last 13 appearances with the Packers as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Quay Walker has recorded 10+ total tackles in two consecutive games (including playoffs) – longest streak in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – two different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
• The Bears ranked 1st in the NFL in interceptions (23) during the reg. season.
• Packers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into the Wild Card Round.
• The Packers ranked 32nd in the NFL in average punt return (5.6 yards) during the reg. season.

Packers vs Bears Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup after struggling to finish the regular season, but one team will get one step closer to the Super Bowl with a win here. Chicago will be at home, but they lost their last two games against the Lions and 49ers. Green Bay has dropped four in a row, but they have also rested some injured players in recent games. Green Bay won the first meeting with the Bears and they should have won the second, but they collapsed late and the Bears won in overtime. I think these teams are very evenly matched, but something has to be said about Green Bay playing very poorly in their last two games and Jordan Love being out for nearly three games. I know the Bears struggled with the Packers in 7/8 quarters during the regular season, but I like them to win here.

David Racey is 113-95 (54%) in the NFL this season and is one of the top NFL cappers on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Pick: Bears ML